A Escola das Odds

Deportes Concepción v Deportes Limache

Início: 2026-06-14 16:30 UTC

Final: Deportes Concepción 3–2 Deportes Limache

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Deportes Concepción (Local)

Previsão 36.69%2.73odd justa
EV +7.13%
Vantagem +2.44%
Kelly +3.71%
Crescimento +0.265%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.98%36.23%36.69%37.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.352.562.502.9242.55%39.03%40.00%34.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Deportes Limache (Visitante)

Previsão 35.77%2.80odd justa
EV -1.99%
Vantagem -0.726%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.32%36.26%35.78%40.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.512.502.7444.44%39.90%40.00%36.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.54%3.63odd justa
EV -3.60%
Vantagem -1.03%
Kelly -1.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.38%27.51%27.53%30.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.703.313.333.5037.04%30.25%30.08%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV +7.13%E +2.44%K +3.71%G +0.265%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -18.44%E -8.09%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 02:10
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV +2.72%E +0.973%K +1.51%G +0.041%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98%EV -17.01%E -7.33%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV +2.72%E +0.973%K +1.51%G +0.041%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98%EV -17.01%E -7.33%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 16:10
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV +2.72%E +0.973%K +1.51%G +0.041%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98%EV -17.01%E -7.33%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 16:10
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV +2.72%E +0.973%K +1.51%G +0.041%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98%EV -17.01%E -7.33%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 16:20
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV +2.72%E +0.973%K +1.51%G +0.041%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98%EV -17.01%E -7.33%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 16:20
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV +0.890%E +0.324%K +0.509%G +0.005%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -17.73%E -7.71%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-14 16:10
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV +0.890%E +0.324%K +0.509%G +0.005%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -18.44%E -8.09%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 16:10
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -0.944%E -0.350%K -0.555%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -19.52%E -8.67%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 16:10
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.63%EV -3.88%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.95%EV -4.49%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-14 16:20
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -3.88%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-14 16:19
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 36.89%EV -4.25%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.53%EV -3.06%E -1.13%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 16:20
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -5.35%E -2.07%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -4.14%E -1.54%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 16:20
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -5.21%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 16:19
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-14 16:20
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -12.36%E -5.05%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-14 16:20
Marathon Bet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.50%EV -6.81%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -8.07%E -3.14%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -6.91%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-14 16:20
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.42%E -1.27%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 16:11
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -1.99%E -0.726%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 16:20
LowVig.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -1.99%E -0.726%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 16:20
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 16:10
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-14 16:10
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.28%E -2.40%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-14 16:20
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-14 16:20
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 16:20
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 16:20
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-14 16:09
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-14 16:20
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-14 16:20
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-14 16:20
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-14 16:20
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -11.95%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-14 16:10
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -12.68%E -5.33%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-14 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 34.81%EV -12.68%E -5.33%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.51%EV -14.15%E -5.90%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.68%EV -25.64%E -9.49%K -15.08%G +0.000%20.7%2026-06-14 16:20
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -13.78%E -5.87%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.85%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-14 16:10
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.43%EV -13.78%E -5.87%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.91%EV -12.36%E -5.05%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.66%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-14 16:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-06-14 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-06-14 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-06-14 16:20
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-06-14 16:20