La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Deportes Concepción v Deportes Limache
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Deportes Concepción (Local)
Predicción 36.69%2.73momio equitativo
EV +7.13%
Ventaja +2.44%
Kelly +3.71%
Crecimiento +0.265%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.98%36.23%36.69%37.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.562.502.9242.55%39.03%40.00%34.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Deportes Limache (Visitante)
Predicción 35.77%2.80momio equitativo
EV -1.99%
Ventaja -0.726%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.32%36.26%35.78%40.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.512.502.7444.44%39.90%40.00%36.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.54%3.63momio equitativo
EV -3.60%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -1.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.38%27.51%27.53%30.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.313.333.5037.04%30.25%30.08%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV +7.13%E +2.44%K +3.71%G +0.265% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -18.44%E -8.09%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-13 02:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV +2.72%E +0.973%K +1.51%G +0.041% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98%EV -17.01%E -7.33%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV +2.72%E +0.973%K +1.51%G +0.041% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98%EV -17.01%E -7.33%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV +2.72%E +0.973%K +1.51%G +0.041% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98%EV -17.01%E -7.33%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV +2.72%E +0.973%K +1.51%G +0.041% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98%EV -17.01%E -7.33%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-14 16:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV +2.72%E +0.973%K +1.51%G +0.041% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98%EV -17.01%E -7.33%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-14 16:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV +0.890%E +0.324%K +0.509%G +0.005% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -17.73%E -7.71%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV +0.890%E +0.324%K +0.509%G +0.005% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -18.44%E -8.09%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -0.944%E -0.350%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -19.52%E -8.67%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| 1xBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.63%EV -3.88%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.95%EV -4.49%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-14 16:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -3.88%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-14 16:19 |
| Pinnacle | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.89%EV -4.25%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.53%EV -3.06%E -1.13%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-14 16:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -5.35%E -2.07%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -4.14%E -1.54%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-14 16:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -5.21%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-14 16:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-14 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -12.36%E -5.05%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-14 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.50%EV -6.81%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -8.07%E -3.14%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -6.91%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-14 16:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.42%E -1.27%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-14 16:11 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -1.99%E -0.726%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-14 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -1.99%E -0.726%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-14 16:20 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.28%E -2.40%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-14 16:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-14 16:20 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-14 16:20 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-14 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-14 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-14 16:20 |
| Everygame | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-14 16:09 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-06-14 16:20 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-06-14 16:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-06-14 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-06-14 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -11.95%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -12.68%E -5.33%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-14 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 34.81%EV -12.68%E -5.33%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.51%EV -14.15%E -5.90%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.68%EV -25.64%E -9.49%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-06-14 16:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -13.78%E -5.87%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.85%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.43%EV -13.78%E -5.87%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.91%EV -12.36%E -5.05%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.66%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-14 16:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-06-14 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-06-14 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-06-14 16:20 |
| Kalshi | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-06-14 16:20 |