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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Deportes Concepción v Audax Italiano

开赛时间： 2026-09-05 00:30 UTC

最终结果： Deportes Concepción 0–1 Audax Italiano

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

39 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Deportes Concepción (主队)

预测 47.08%2.12公平赔率
EV -3.95%
优势 -1.94%
Kelly -3.80%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.04

博彩公司预测分布
45.56%47.16%46.98%49.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.961.952.0454.64%51.02%51.28%49.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

Audax Italiano (客队)

预测 24.93%4.01公平赔率
EV +0.453%
优势 +0.112%
Kelly +0.149%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 4.03

博彩公司预测分布
22.54%24.80%24.97%26.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.353.633.604.0329.85%27.57%27.78%24.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.99%3.57公平赔率
EV -3.15%
优势 -0.909%
Kelly -1.28%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.46

博彩公司预测分布
27.30%28.04%28.05%28.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.263.253.4632.26%30.70%30.77%28.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Deportes Concepción (主队)：47.08%；Audax Italiano (客队)：24.93%；平局：27.99%。 对于“Audax Italiano (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.01。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.03，对应+0.453%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (39 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.33%EV -6.31%E -3.17%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.87%EV +0.453%E +0.112%K +0.149%G +0.001%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.80%EV -3.15%E -0.909%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 12:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -13.84%E -7.56%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -0.295%E -0.074%K -0.098%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 14:20
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 08:35
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 12:40
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 12:39
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 04:20
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.53%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 14:35
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.76%EV -10.55%E -5.55%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.33%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -3.95%E -1.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -3.95%E -1.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:35
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 00:34
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 08:55
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -6.78%E -3.42%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -6.78%E -3.42%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -6.78%E -3.42%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 14:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.25%E -3.68%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -7.06%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 14:35
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -7.72%E -3.94%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 11:10
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 14:35
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.07%E -5.27%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-03 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.07%E -5.27%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 00:35
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 14:35
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -3.95%E -1.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -3.95%E -1.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -3.95%E -1.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 10:55
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -3.95%E -1.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 10:55
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -3.95%E -1.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 10:55
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.71%EV -9.60%E -5.00%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.37%EV -11.96%E -6.39%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 12:35
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.07%E -5.27%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 11:10
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 08:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 08:30
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 08:28
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 08:29
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -11.96%E -6.39%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-04 08:35
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -15.25%E -4.49%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-03 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.56%EV -8.66%E -4.47%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -16.50%E -4.92%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-03 10:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.56%EV -8.66%E -4.47%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -16.50%E -4.92%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-03 10:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-09-04 12:05