StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Deportes Concepción v Audax Italiano

Matchstart: 2026-09-05 00:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Deportes Concepción 0–1 Audax Italiano

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

39 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Deportes Concepción (Hemma)

Prognos 47.08%2.12rättvist odds
EV -3.95%
Fördel -1.94%
Kelly -3.80%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.04

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
45.56%47.16%46.98%49.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.831.961.952.0454.64%51.02%51.28%49.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Audax Italiano (Borta)

Prognos 24.93%4.01rättvist odds
EV +0.453%
Fördel +0.112%
Kelly +0.149%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.03

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.54%24.80%24.97%26.38%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.353.633.604.0329.85%27.57%27.78%24.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.99%3.57rättvist odds
EV -3.15%
Fördel -0.909%
Kelly -1.28%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.46

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.30%28.04%28.05%28.98%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.263.253.4632.26%30.70%30.77%28.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Deportes Concepción (Hemma): 47.08%; Audax Italiano (Borta): 24.93%; Oavgjort: 27.99%. För Audax Italiano (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.01. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.03, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.453%.

Spelbolagsodds (39 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.33%EV -6.31%E -3.17%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.87%EV +0.453%E +0.112%K +0.149%G +0.001%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.80%EV -3.15%E -0.909%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 12:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -13.84%E -7.56%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -0.295%E -0.074%K -0.098%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 14:20
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 08:35
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 12:40
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 12:39
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 04:20
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.53%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 14:35
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.76%EV -10.55%E -5.55%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.33%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -3.95%E -1.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -3.95%E -1.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:35
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 00:34
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 08:55
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -6.78%E -3.42%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -6.78%E -3.42%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -6.78%E -3.42%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 14:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.25%E -3.68%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -7.06%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 14:35
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -7.72%E -3.94%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 11:10
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 14:35
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.07%E -5.27%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-03 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.07%E -5.27%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 00:35
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 14:35
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -3.95%E -1.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -3.95%E -1.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -3.95%E -1.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 10:55
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -3.95%E -1.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 10:55
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -3.95%E -1.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 10:55
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.71%EV -9.60%E -5.00%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.37%EV -11.96%E -6.39%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 12:35
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.07%E -5.27%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 11:10
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 08:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 08:30
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 08:28
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 08:29
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -11.96%E -6.39%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-04 08:35
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -15.25%E -4.49%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-03 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.56%EV -8.66%E -4.47%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -16.50%E -4.92%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-03 10:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.56%EV -8.66%E -4.47%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -16.50%E -4.92%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-03 10:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-09-04 12:05