Langue:Français
Deportes Concepción v Audax Italiano
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Deportes Concepción (Local)
Prévision 47.08%2.12cote équitable
EV -3.95%
Avantage -1.94%
Kelly -3.80%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.04
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.56%47.16%46.98%49.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.961.952.0454.64%51.02%51.28%49.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Audax Italiano (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.93%4.01cote équitable
EV +0.453%
Avantage +0.112%
Kelly +0.149%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 4.03
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.54%24.80%24.97%26.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.633.604.0329.85%27.57%27.78%24.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.99%3.57cote équitable
EV -3.15%
Avantage -0.909%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.46
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.30%28.04%28.05%28.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.263.253.4632.26%30.70%30.77%28.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Deportes Concepción (Local) : 47.08% ; Audax Italiano (Visiteur) : 24.93% ; Match nul : 27.99%. Pour Audax Italiano (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.01. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.03, soit une espérance positive de +0.453%.
Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.33%EV -6.31%E -3.17%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.87%EV +0.453%E +0.112%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.80%EV -3.15%E -0.909%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -13.84%E -7.56%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -0.295%E -0.074%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 04:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.53%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.76%EV -10.55%E -5.55%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.33%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -3.95%E -1.94%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -3.95%E -1.94%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 00:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 08:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -6.78%E -3.42%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -6.78%E -3.42%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -6.78%E -3.42%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-03 14:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.25%E -3.68%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -7.06%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -7.72%E -3.94%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-03 11:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.07%E -5.27%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-03 11:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.07%E -5.27%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 00:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -3.95%E -1.94%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 10:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -3.95%E -1.94%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 10:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -3.95%E -1.94%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 10:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -3.95%E -1.94%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 10:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -3.95%E -1.94%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 10:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.71%EV -9.60%E -5.00%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.37%EV -11.96%E -6.39%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -11.51%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.07%E -5.27%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-03 11:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 08:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 08:28 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 08:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -11.96%E -6.39%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.19%E -4.20%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -15.25%E -4.49%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-03 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.56%EV -8.66%E -4.47%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -16.50%E -4.92%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-03 10:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.56%EV -8.66%E -4.47%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -16.50%E -4.92%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-03 10:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |