Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coquimbo Unido v Ñublense

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 16:34 UTC

Final: Coquimbo Unido 1–1 Ñublense

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coquimbo Unido (Local)

Prediction 50.88%1.97fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.668%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.04%50.85%50.87%53.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.821.811.9459.17%54.99%55.25%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ñublense (Visit)

Prediction 21.22%4.71fair odd
EV +2.48%
Edge +0.513%
Kelly +0.647%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 4.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.61%21.21%21.26%23.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.244.254.8326.32%23.59%23.53%20.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.90%3.58fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -0.997%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.10%27.94%27.88%30.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.253.253.4635.71%30.78%30.77%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coquimbo Unido (Local): 50.88%; Ñublense (Visit): 21.22%; Draw: 27.90%. For Ñublense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.71. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.42%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.86%EV +2.48%E +0.513%K +0.647%G +0.016%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.72%EV -3.45%E -0.997%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 16:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.94%EV -7.91%E -4.37%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -0.279%E -0.059%K -0.076%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.94%EV -7.91%E -4.37%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -0.279%E -0.059%K -0.076%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -2.40%E -0.522%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 16:29
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -2.40%E -0.522%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -13.51%E -7.95%K -19.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -2.40%E -0.522%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 16:29
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.20%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.97%EV -2.61%E -0.569%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.82%EV -3.45%E -0.997%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 16:29
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.52%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 16:30
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -7.40%E -4.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -5.58%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 16:30
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -7.40%E -4.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -5.58%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.07%EV -9.44%E -5.30%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -5.58%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -4.57%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 16:29
Coolbet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.50%EV -1.30%E -0.668%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -6.64%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 16:29
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.38%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -6.64%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:29
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.64%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 16:30
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -8.13%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 16:29
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.19%EV -9.95%E -5.62%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.93%EV -8.13%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 16:29
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -8.13%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -13.50%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 16:30
GTbets🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.22%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.88%EV -8.34%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.90%EV -8.75%E -2.68%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 16:26
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:30
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -7.40%E -4.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:29
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 16:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.56%EV -7.91%E -4.37%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.26%EV -10.45%E -5.94%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -9.83%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:29
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.99%EV -9.95%E -5.62%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV -9.83%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 16:30
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -5.87%E -3.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 16:30
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -13.50%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 16:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -13.50%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 16:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -13.50%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 16:29
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.50%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 51.45%EV -14.02%E -8.29%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.95%EV -11.95%E -2.88%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -12.10%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-19 16:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.69%EV -7.40%E -4.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 16:29
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 16:28
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 16:30
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 16:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -11.47%E -6.59%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.89%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -12.10%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 48.77%EV -11.98%E -6.93%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.09%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.13%EV -21.87%E -7.81%K -12.15%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -17.25%E -4.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -17.25%E -4.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 16:30
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -17.25%E -4.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -17.25%E -4.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -17.25%E -4.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -17.25%E -4.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.04%EV -3.84%E -2.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -18.31%E -4.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -19.37%E -5.10%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 16:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.23%1.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.66%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-04-19 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.66%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-04-19 16:30
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%3.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 49.58%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.83%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%5.0%2026-04-19 16:30