La escuela de los momios

Coquimbo Unido v Ñublense

Inicio: 2026-04-19 16:34 UTC

Final: Coquimbo Unido 1–1 Ñublense

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Coquimbo Unido (Local)

Predicción 50.88%1.97momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.668%
Kelly -1.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.94

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.04%50.85%50.87%53.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.691.821.811.9459.17%54.99%55.25%51.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ñublense (Visitante)

Predicción 21.22%4.71momio equitativo
EV +2.48%
Ventaja +0.513%
Kelly +0.647%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.61%21.21%21.26%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.244.254.8326.32%23.59%23.53%20.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.90%3.58momio equitativo
EV -3.45%
Ventaja -0.997%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.10%27.94%27.88%30.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.253.253.4635.71%30.78%30.77%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.42%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.86%EV +2.48%E +0.513%K +0.647%G +0.016%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.72%EV -3.45%E -0.997%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 16:29
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.94%EV -7.91%E -4.37%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -0.279%E -0.059%K -0.076%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:30
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.94%EV -7.91%E -4.37%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -0.279%E -0.059%K -0.076%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -2.40%E -0.522%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 16:29
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -2.40%E -0.522%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 16:30
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -13.51%E -7.95%K -19.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -2.40%E -0.522%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 16:29
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.20%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.97%EV -2.61%E -0.569%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.82%EV -3.45%E -0.997%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 16:29
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.52%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 16:30
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -7.40%E -4.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -5.58%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 16:30
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -7.40%E -4.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -5.58%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 16:30
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.07%EV -9.44%E -5.30%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -5.58%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -4.57%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 16:29
Coolbet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.50%EV -1.30%E -0.668%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -6.64%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 16:29
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.38%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -6.64%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:29
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.64%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 16:30
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -8.13%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 16:29
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.19%EV -9.95%E -5.62%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.93%EV -8.13%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 16:29
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -8.13%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -13.50%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 16:30
GTbets1.92I 52.08%NM 49.22%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.88%EV -8.34%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.90%EV -8.75%E -2.68%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 16:26
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:30
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -7.40%E -4.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:29
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 16:29
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.56%EV -7.91%E -4.37%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 16:30
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.26%EV -10.45%E -5.94%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 16:30
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -9.83%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:29
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 50.99%EV -9.95%E -5.62%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV -9.83%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 16:30
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -5.87%E -3.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 16:30
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -13.50%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 16:29
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -13.50%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 16:29
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -13.50%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 16:29
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.50%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 51.45%EV -14.02%E -8.29%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.95%EV -11.95%E -2.88%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -12.10%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-19 16:29
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.69%EV -7.40%E -4.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 16:29
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 16:28
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 16:30
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 16:30
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -11.47%E -6.59%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.89%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -12.10%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.77%EV -11.98%E -6.93%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.09%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.13%EV -21.87%E -7.81%K -12.15%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -17.25%E -4.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 16:30
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -17.25%E -4.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 16:30
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -17.25%E -4.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -17.25%E -4.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 16:30
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -17.25%E -4.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -17.25%E -4.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.04%EV -3.84%E -2.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -18.31%E -4.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 16:30
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -19.37%E -5.10%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 16:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.23%1.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.66%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-04-19 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.66%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-04-19 16:30
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%3.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 49.58%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.83%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%5.0%2026-04-19 16:30