L’École des cotes

Coquimbo Unido v Ñublense

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 16:34 UTC

Score final : Coquimbo Unido 1–1 Ñublense

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Coquimbo Unido (Local)

Prévision 50.88%1.97cote équitable
EV -1.30%
Avantage -0.668%
Kelly -1.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.04%50.85%50.87%53.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.691.821.811.9459.17%54.99%55.25%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ñublense (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.22%4.71cote équitable
EV +2.48%
Avantage +0.513%
Kelly +0.647%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 4.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.61%21.21%21.26%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.244.254.8326.32%23.59%23.53%20.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.90%3.58cote équitable
EV -3.45%
Avantage -0.997%
Kelly -1.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.10%27.94%27.88%30.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.253.253.4635.71%30.78%30.77%28.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.42%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.86%EV +2.48%E +0.513%K +0.647%G +0.016%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.72%EV -3.45%E -0.997%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 16:29
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.94%EV -7.91%E -4.37%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -0.279%E -0.059%K -0.076%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:30
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.94%EV -7.91%E -4.37%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -0.279%E -0.059%K -0.076%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -2.40%E -0.522%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 16:29
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -2.40%E -0.522%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 16:30
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -13.51%E -7.95%K -19.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -2.40%E -0.522%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 16:29
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.20%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.97%EV -2.61%E -0.569%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.82%EV -3.45%E -0.997%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 16:29
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.52%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 16:30
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -7.40%E -4.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -5.58%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 16:30
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -7.40%E -4.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -5.58%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 16:30
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.07%EV -9.44%E -5.30%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -5.58%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -4.57%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 16:29
Coolbet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.50%EV -1.30%E -0.668%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -6.64%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 16:29
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.38%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -6.64%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:29
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.64%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 16:30
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -8.13%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 16:29
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.19%EV -9.95%E -5.62%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.93%EV -8.13%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 16:29
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -8.13%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -13.50%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 16:30
GTbets1.92I 52.08%NM 49.22%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.88%EV -8.34%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.90%EV -8.75%E -2.68%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 16:26
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:30
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -7.40%E -4.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:29
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 16:29
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.56%EV -7.91%E -4.37%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 16:30
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.26%EV -10.45%E -5.94%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 16:30
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -9.83%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:29
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 50.99%EV -9.95%E -5.62%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV -9.83%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 16:30
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -5.87%E -3.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 16:30
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -13.50%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 16:29
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -13.50%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 16:29
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -13.50%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 16:29
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.50%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 51.45%EV -14.02%E -8.29%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.95%EV -11.95%E -2.88%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -12.10%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-19 16:29
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.69%EV -7.40%E -4.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 16:29
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 16:28
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 16:30
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 16:30
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -11.47%E -6.59%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.89%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -12.10%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.77%EV -11.98%E -6.93%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.09%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.13%EV -21.87%E -7.81%K -12.15%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -17.25%E -4.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 16:30
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -17.25%E -4.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 16:30
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -17.25%E -4.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -17.25%E -4.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 16:30
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -17.25%E -4.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -17.25%E -4.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.04%EV -3.84%E -2.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -18.31%E -4.76%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 16:30
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -19.37%E -5.10%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 16:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.23%1.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.66%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-04-19 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.66%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-04-19 16:30
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%3.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 49.58%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.83%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%5.0%2026-04-19 16:30