Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coquimbo Unido v Deportes Concepción

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coquimbo Unido (Local)

Prediction 55.65%1.80fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -5.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.86%55.77%55.67%57.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.641.631.7366.67%61.13%61.35%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Deportes Concepción (Visit)

Prediction 19.17%5.22fair odd
EV -0.295%
Edge -0.057%
Kelly -0.070%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.99%19.09%19.18%20.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.784.805.2022.73%20.94%20.83%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.18%3.97fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -0.862%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.28%25.14%25.15%27.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.593.623.8432.26%27.83%27.62%26.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coquimbo Unido (Local): 55.65%; Deportes Concepción (Visit): 19.17%; Draw: 25.18%. For Deportes Concepción (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.20, with an expected value of -0.295%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.19%EV -3.73%E -2.16%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.69%EV -7.01%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 11:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.19%EV -3.73%E -2.16%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.69%EV -7.01%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 11:10
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.85%E -2.83%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 19.01%EV -3.36%E -0.667%K -0.832%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.95%EV -3.31%E -0.862%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 13:45
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.36%EV -4.85%E -2.83%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -7.96%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 14:39
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.92%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:40
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -0.295%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 11:10
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 13:43
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.80%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 18.60%EV -3.94%E -0.786%K -0.982%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.60%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 13:46
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.96%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 13:20
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -15.63%E -3.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -15.63%E -3.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -15.63%E -3.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 14:40
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -15.63%E -3.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 14:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.18%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.36%EV -3.17%E -0.628%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.47%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 13:45
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -8.92%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 12:40
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 11:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 11:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.74%E -5.33%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 13:20
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.85%E -6.08%K -15.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 12:09
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -9.85%E -6.08%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -8.92%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-28 11:10
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -9.85%E -6.08%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-28 11:10
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:40
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:40
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:40
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:40
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -8.92%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 14:40
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -10.97%E -6.85%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -6.05%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.92%EV -10.97%E -6.85%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -15.63%E -3.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-28 13:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.88%EV -10.97%E -6.85%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.30%EV -12.76%E -2.80%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-28 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.97%EV -12.08%E -7.65%K -20.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.37%EV -6.05%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 14:40
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.07%EV -12.08%E -7.65%K -20.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.34%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-28 14:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -12.64%E -8.05%K -22.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 53.90%EV -12.64%E -8.05%K -22.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.80%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -21.94%E -7.08%K -10.45%G +0.000%18.2%2026-02-28 11:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 55.72%EV -16.53%E -11.02%K -33.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.17%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.12%EV -19.42%E -6.07%K -8.83%G +0.000%19.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.41%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-02-28 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.41%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-02-28 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.55%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.89%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.56%1.6%2026-02-28 14:40