L’École des cotes

Coquimbo Unido v Deportes Concepción

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Coquimbo Unido (Local)

Prévision 55.65%1.80cote équitable
EV -3.73%
Avantage -2.16%
Kelly -5.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.86%55.77%55.67%57.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.641.631.7366.67%61.13%61.35%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Deportes Concepción (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.17%5.22cote équitable
EV -0.295%
Avantage -0.057%
Kelly -0.070%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.99%19.09%19.18%20.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.784.805.2022.73%20.94%20.83%19.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.18%3.97cote équitable
EV -3.31%
Avantage -0.862%
Kelly -1.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.28%25.14%25.15%27.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.593.623.8432.26%27.83%27.62%26.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.19%EV -3.73%E -2.16%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.69%EV -7.01%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 11:10
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.19%EV -3.73%E -2.16%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.69%EV -7.01%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 11:10
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.85%E -2.83%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 19.01%EV -3.36%E -0.667%K -0.832%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.95%EV -3.31%E -0.862%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 13:45
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.36%EV -4.85%E -2.83%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -7.96%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 14:39
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.92%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:40
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -0.295%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 11:10
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 13:43
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.80%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 18.60%EV -3.94%E -0.786%K -0.982%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.60%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 13:46
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.96%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 13:20
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -15.63%E -3.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -15.63%E -3.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -15.63%E -3.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 14:40
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -15.63%E -3.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 14:40
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.18%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.36%EV -3.17%E -0.628%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.47%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 13:45
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -8.92%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 12:40
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 11:10
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 11:10
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 11:10
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.74%E -5.33%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 13:20
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.85%E -6.08%K -15.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 12:09
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -9.85%E -6.08%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -8.92%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-28 11:10
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -9.85%E -6.08%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-28 11:10
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:40
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:40
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:40
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:40
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:40
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -8.92%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 14:40
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 11:10
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -10.97%E -6.85%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -6.05%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 14:40
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.92%EV -10.97%E -6.85%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -15.63%E -3.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-28 13:20
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.88%EV -10.97%E -6.85%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.30%EV -12.76%E -2.80%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-28 13:30
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.97%EV -12.08%E -7.65%K -20.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.37%EV -6.05%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 14:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.07%EV -12.08%E -7.65%K -20.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.34%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-28 14:40
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -12.64%E -8.05%K -22.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 53.90%EV -12.64%E -8.05%K -22.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.80%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -21.94%E -7.08%K -10.45%G +0.000%18.2%2026-02-28 11:10
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.72%EV -16.53%E -11.02%K -33.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.17%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.12%EV -19.42%E -6.07%K -8.83%G +0.000%19.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.41%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-02-28 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.41%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-02-28 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.55%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.89%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.56%1.6%2026-02-28 14:40