La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Coquimbo Unido v Deportes Concepción
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Coquimbo Unido (Local)
Predicción 55.65%1.80momio equitativo
EV -3.73%
Ventaja -2.16%
Kelly -5.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.86%55.77%55.67%57.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.641.631.7366.67%61.13%61.35%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Deportes Concepción (Visitante)
Predicción 19.17%5.22momio equitativo
EV -0.295%
Ventaja -0.057%
Kelly -0.070%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.99%19.09%19.18%20.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.784.805.2022.73%20.94%20.83%19.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.18%3.97momio equitativo
EV -3.31%
Ventaja -0.862%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.28%25.14%25.15%27.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.593.623.8432.26%27.83%27.62%26.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.19%EV -3.73%E -2.16%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.69%EV -7.01%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 11:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.19%EV -3.73%E -2.16%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.69%EV -7.01%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 11:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.85%E -2.83%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 19.01%EV -3.36%E -0.667%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.95%EV -3.31%E -0.862%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.36%EV -4.85%E -2.83%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -7.96%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 14:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.92%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -0.295%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 11:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 13:43 |
| 1xBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.80%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 18.60%EV -3.94%E -0.786%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.60%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 13:46 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.96%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 13:20 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -15.63%E -3.55%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -15.63%E -3.55%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -15.63%E -3.55%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 14:40 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -15.63%E -3.55%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 14:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.18%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.36%EV -3.17%E -0.628%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.47%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -8.92%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 12:40 |
| 888sport | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-28 11:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-28 11:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-28 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.74%E -5.33%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 13:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.85%E -6.08%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-28 12:09 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -9.85%E -6.08%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -8.92%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-28 11:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -9.85%E -6.08%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 11:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 14:40 |
| Unibet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 14:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 14:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 14:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 14:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 14:40 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -8.92%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 14:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -10.41%E -6.47%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-28 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -10.97%E -6.85%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -6.05%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.92%EV -10.97%E -6.85%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -15.63%E -3.55%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-28 13:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.88%EV -10.97%E -6.85%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.30%EV -12.76%E -2.80%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.97%EV -12.08%E -7.65%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.37%EV -6.05%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-28 14:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.07%EV -12.08%E -7.65%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.34%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-02-28 14:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -12.64%E -8.05%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-28 14:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.90%EV -12.64%E -8.05%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.80%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -21.94%E -7.08%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-02-28 11:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.72%EV -16.53%E -11.02%K -33.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.17%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.12%EV -19.42%E -6.07%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.41% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.41% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.55% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.89% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.56% | 1.6% | 2026-02-28 14:40 |