Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colo Colo v Huachipato

Kickoff: 2026-03-16 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colo Colo (Local)

Prediction 63.00%1.59fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -5.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.31%63.01%62.97%65.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.461.461.5475.76%68.34%68.49%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Huachipato (Visit)

Prediction 14.58%6.86fair odd
EV +5.00%
Edge +0.694%
Kelly +0.806%
Growth +0.040%

assuming max odds 7.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.55%14.56%14.56%16.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.146.007.2018.52%16.30%16.67%13.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.42%4.46fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.312%
Kelly -0.404%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.19%22.43%22.47%24.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.034.004.4028.57%24.82%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colo Colo (Local): 63.00%; Huachipato (Visit): 14.58%; Draw: 22.42%. For Huachipato (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.86. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.94%EV -13.69%E -9.99%K -36.99%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.55%EV +5.00%E +0.694%K +0.806%G +0.040%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-16 23:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.65%EV -4.87%E -3.22%K -9.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +2.08%E +0.298%K +0.347%G +0.007%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.62%EV -4.74%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-16 23:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.65%EV -4.87%E -3.22%K -9.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +2.08%E +0.298%K +0.347%G +0.007%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.62%EV -4.74%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-16 23:25
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV +2.08%E +0.298%K +0.347%G +0.007%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 23:09
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.84%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.97I 14.35%NM 13.74%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.43%EV -4.29%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-16 23:20
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 14.04%EV -0.104%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -1.37%E -0.312%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-16 23:05
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.48%EV -2.98%E -1.93%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.28%EV -1.71%E -0.253%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.24%EV -7.20%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-16 23:25
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.14%EV -3.61%E -2.36%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.66%EV -3.90%E -0.591%K -0.697%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21%EV -2.49%E -0.573%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-16 23:15
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.21%E -0.801%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-16 23:20
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -6.76%E -4.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -5.21%E -0.801%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-16 23:24
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -6.76%E -4.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -5.21%E -0.801%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-16 23:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -6.76%E -4.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -5.21%E -0.801%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.34%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 23:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.43%EV -8.02%E -5.49%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -5.21%E -0.801%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -6.98%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 23:25
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.58%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -5.21%E -0.801%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.10%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-16 23:25
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -6.13%E -4.11%K -12.51%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -6.67%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -6.98%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-16 23:25
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -6.13%E -4.11%K -12.51%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -6.67%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -6.98%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-16 23:25
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -8.85%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.34%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.35%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -8.85%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-16 23:25
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.16%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -8.85%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -13.70%E -3.56%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-16 23:25
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.10%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-16 23:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -6.76%E -4.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -4.74%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.86%EV -8.02%E -5.49%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-16 23:10
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.52%EV -8.02%E -5.49%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.10%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-16 23:23
BetUS🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.52%EV -8.02%E -5.49%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.10%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-16 23:25
BetAnything🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.52%EV -8.02%E -5.49%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.10%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-16 23:25
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -10.34%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-16 23:25
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.34%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-16 23:15
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 23:25
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.82%E -3.90%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-16 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.82%E -3.90%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-16 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.82%E -3.90%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-16 23:05
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.43%EV -11.80%E -8.43%K -29.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.57%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.00%EV -14.82%E -3.90%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-16 23:15
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.54%EV -4.24%E -2.79%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -15.42%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-16 22:42
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.70%EV -4.87%E -3.22%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -15.42%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-16 22:45
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.70%EV -4.87%E -3.22%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -15.42%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-16 22:45
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.70%EV -4.87%E -3.22%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -15.42%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-16 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.70%EV -4.87%E -3.22%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -15.42%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-16 22:45
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.70%EV -4.87%E -3.22%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -15.42%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-16 22:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 63.12%EV -16.84%E -12.76%K -52.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.36%EV -15.42%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.52%EV -17.06%E -4.61%K -6.32%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-16 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.59%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -16.15%E -2.81%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -13.70%E -3.56%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 22:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -16.15%E -2.81%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -10.34%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 23:10
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -16.15%E -2.81%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -10.34%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -16.15%E -2.81%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -10.34%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 23:09
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -16.15%E -2.81%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -10.34%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 23:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.83%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.98%EV -16.88%E -2.96%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%EV -3.61%E -0.841%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-16 23:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.33%EV -11.17%E -7.92%K -27.24%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.42%EV -16.88%E -2.96%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%EV -11.46%E -2.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-16 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 62.48%EV -12.43%E -8.94%K -31.87%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 15.37%EV -17.60%E -3.12%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 22.15%EV -12.13%E -3.09%K -4.15%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-16 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.31%EV -6.13%E -4.11%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.05%EV -18.33%E -3.27%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -14.82%E -3.90%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-16 22:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 60.44%EV -11.80%E -8.43%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.38%EV -19.79%E -3.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.18%EV -21.55%E -6.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%18.2%2026-03-16 23:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.14%EV -10.54%E -7.42%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.34%EV -21.25%E -3.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.52%EV -8.10%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-16 23:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-03-16 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-03-16 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-03-16 23:20
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.07%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%1.8%2026-03-16 23:25
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.01%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.63%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.37%2.8%2026-03-16 23:15