La escuela de los momios

Colo Colo v Huachipato

Inicio: 2026-03-16 23:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Colo Colo (Local)

Predicción 63.00%1.59momio equitativo
EV -2.98%
Ventaja -1.93%
Kelly -5.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.31%63.01%62.97%65.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.461.461.5475.76%68.34%68.49%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Huachipato (Visitante)

Predicción 14.58%6.86momio equitativo
EV +5.00%
Ventaja +0.694%
Kelly +0.806%
Crecimiento +0.040%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.55%14.56%14.56%16.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.406.146.007.2018.52%16.30%16.67%13.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.42%4.46momio equitativo
EV -1.37%
Ventaja -0.312%
Kelly -0.404%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.19%22.43%22.47%24.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.034.004.4028.57%24.82%25.00%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 65.94%EV -13.69%E -9.99%K -36.99%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.55%EV +5.00%E +0.694%K +0.806%G +0.040%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-16 23:20
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.65%EV -4.87%E -3.22%K -9.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +2.08%E +0.298%K +0.347%G +0.007%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.62%EV -4.74%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-16 23:20
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.65%EV -4.87%E -3.22%K -9.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +2.08%E +0.298%K +0.347%G +0.007%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.62%EV -4.74%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-16 23:25
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV +2.08%E +0.298%K +0.347%G +0.007%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 23:09
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 63.84%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.97I 14.35%NM 13.74%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.43%EV -4.29%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-16 23:20
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 14.04%EV -0.104%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -1.37%E -0.312%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-16 23:05
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.48%EV -2.98%E -1.93%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.28%EV -1.71%E -0.253%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.24%EV -7.20%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-16 23:25
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.14%EV -3.61%E -2.36%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.66%EV -3.90%E -0.591%K -0.697%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21%EV -2.49%E -0.573%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-16 23:15
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.21%E -0.801%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-16 23:20
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -6.76%E -4.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -5.21%E -0.801%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-16 23:24
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -6.76%E -4.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -5.21%E -0.801%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-16 23:25
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -6.76%E -4.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -5.21%E -0.801%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.34%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 23:25
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.43%EV -8.02%E -5.49%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -5.21%E -0.801%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -6.98%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 23:25
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.58%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -5.21%E -0.801%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.10%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-16 23:25
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -6.13%E -4.11%K -12.51%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -6.67%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -6.98%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-16 23:25
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -6.13%E -4.11%K -12.51%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -6.67%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -6.98%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-16 23:25
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -8.85%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.34%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 23:05
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.35%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -8.85%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-16 23:25
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.16%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -8.85%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -13.70%E -3.56%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-16 23:25
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.10%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-16 23:20
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -6.76%E -4.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -4.74%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 23:05
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.86%EV -8.02%E -5.49%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-16 23:10
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 62.52%EV -8.02%E -5.49%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.10%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-16 23:23
BetUS1.46I 68.49%NM 62.52%EV -8.02%E -5.49%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.10%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-16 23:25
BetAnything1.46I 68.49%NM 62.52%EV -8.02%E -5.49%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.10%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-16 23:25
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -10.34%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-16 23:25
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.34%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-16 23:15
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 23:25
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.82%E -3.90%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-16 23:05
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.82%E -3.90%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-16 23:05
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.82%E -3.90%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-16 23:05
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.43%EV -11.80%E -8.43%K -29.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.57%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.00%EV -14.82%E -3.90%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-16 23:15
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.54%EV -4.24%E -2.79%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -15.42%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-16 22:42
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.70%EV -4.87%E -3.22%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -15.42%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-16 22:45
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 60.70%EV -4.87%E -3.22%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -15.42%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-16 22:45
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 60.70%EV -4.87%E -3.22%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -15.42%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-16 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.70%EV -4.87%E -3.22%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -15.42%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-16 22:45
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 60.70%EV -4.87%E -3.22%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -15.42%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-16 22:45
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 63.12%EV -16.84%E -12.76%K -52.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.36%EV -15.42%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.52%EV -17.06%E -4.61%K -6.32%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-16 23:25
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.59%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -16.15%E -2.81%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -13.70%E -3.56%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 22:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -16.15%E -2.81%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -10.34%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 23:10
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -16.15%E -2.81%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -10.34%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -16.15%E -2.81%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -10.34%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 23:09
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -16.15%E -2.81%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -10.34%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 23:14
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.83%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.98%EV -16.88%E -2.96%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%EV -3.61%E -0.841%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-16 23:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.33%EV -11.17%E -7.92%K -27.24%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.42%EV -16.88%E -2.96%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%EV -11.46%E -2.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-16 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 62.48%EV -12.43%E -8.94%K -31.87%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 15.37%EV -17.60%E -3.12%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 22.15%EV -12.13%E -3.09%K -4.15%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-16 23:25
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.31%EV -6.13%E -4.11%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.05%EV -18.33%E -3.27%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -14.82%E -3.90%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-16 22:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 60.44%EV -11.80%E -8.43%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.38%EV -19.79%E -3.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.18%EV -21.55%E -6.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%18.2%2026-03-16 23:25
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.14%EV -10.54%E -7.42%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.34%EV -21.25%E -3.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.52%EV -8.10%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-16 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-03-16 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-03-16 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-03-16 23:20
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.07%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%1.8%2026-03-16 23:25
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.01%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.63%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.37%2.8%2026-03-16 23:15