L’École des cotes

Colo Colo v Huachipato

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-16 23:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Colo Colo (Local)

Prévision 63.00%1.59cote équitable
EV -2.98%
Avantage -1.93%
Kelly -5.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.31%63.01%62.97%65.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.461.461.5475.76%68.34%68.49%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Huachipato (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.58%6.86cote équitable
EV +5.00%
Avantage +0.694%
Kelly +0.806%
Croissance +0.040%

avec la cote maximale 7.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.55%14.56%14.56%16.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.406.146.007.2018.52%16.30%16.67%13.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.42%4.46cote équitable
EV -1.37%
Avantage -0.312%
Kelly -0.404%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.19%22.43%22.47%24.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.034.004.4028.57%24.82%25.00%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 65.94%EV -13.69%E -9.99%K -36.99%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.55%EV +5.00%E +0.694%K +0.806%G +0.040%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-16 23:20
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.65%EV -4.87%E -3.22%K -9.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +2.08%E +0.298%K +0.347%G +0.007%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.62%EV -4.74%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-16 23:20
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.65%EV -4.87%E -3.22%K -9.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +2.08%E +0.298%K +0.347%G +0.007%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.62%EV -4.74%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-16 23:25
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV +2.08%E +0.298%K +0.347%G +0.007%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 23:09
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 63.84%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.97I 14.35%NM 13.74%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.43%EV -4.29%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-16 23:20
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 14.04%EV -0.104%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -1.37%E -0.312%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-16 23:05
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.48%EV -2.98%E -1.93%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.28%EV -1.71%E -0.253%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.24%EV -7.20%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-16 23:25
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.14%EV -3.61%E -2.36%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.66%EV -3.90%E -0.591%K -0.697%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21%EV -2.49%E -0.573%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-16 23:15
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.21%E -0.801%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-16 23:20
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -6.76%E -4.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -5.21%E -0.801%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-16 23:24
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -6.76%E -4.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -5.21%E -0.801%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-16 23:25
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -6.76%E -4.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -5.21%E -0.801%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -10.34%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 23:25
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.43%EV -8.02%E -5.49%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -5.21%E -0.801%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -6.98%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 23:25
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.58%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -5.21%E -0.801%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.10%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-16 23:25
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -6.13%E -4.11%K -12.51%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -6.67%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -6.98%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-16 23:25
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -6.13%E -4.11%K -12.51%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -6.67%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -6.98%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-16 23:25
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -8.85%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.34%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 23:05
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.35%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -8.85%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-16 23:25
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.16%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -8.85%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -13.70%E -3.56%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-16 23:25
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.10%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-16 23:20
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -6.76%E -4.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -4.74%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 23:05
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.86%EV -8.02%E -5.49%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-16 23:10
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 62.52%EV -8.02%E -5.49%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.10%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-16 23:23
BetUS1.46I 68.49%NM 62.52%EV -8.02%E -5.49%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.10%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-16 23:25
BetAnything1.46I 68.49%NM 62.52%EV -8.02%E -5.49%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.10%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-16 23:25
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -10.34%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-16 23:25
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.34%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-16 23:15
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 23:25
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.82%E -3.90%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-16 23:05
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.82%E -3.90%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-16 23:05
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.82%E -3.90%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-16 23:05
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.43%EV -11.80%E -8.43%K -29.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.57%EV -12.50%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.00%EV -14.82%E -3.90%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-16 23:15
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.54%EV -4.24%E -2.79%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -15.42%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-16 22:42
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.70%EV -4.87%E -3.22%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -15.42%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-16 22:45
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 60.70%EV -4.87%E -3.22%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -15.42%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-16 22:45
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 60.70%EV -4.87%E -3.22%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -15.42%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-16 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.70%EV -4.87%E -3.22%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -15.42%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-16 22:45
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 60.70%EV -4.87%E -3.22%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -15.42%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-16 22:45
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 63.12%EV -16.84%E -12.76%K -52.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.36%EV -15.42%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.52%EV -17.06%E -4.61%K -6.32%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-16 23:25
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.59%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -16.15%E -2.81%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -13.70%E -3.56%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 22:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -16.15%E -2.81%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -10.34%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 23:10
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -16.15%E -2.81%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -10.34%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -16.15%E -2.81%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -10.34%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 23:09
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -16.15%E -2.81%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -10.34%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 23:14
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.83%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.98%EV -16.88%E -2.96%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%EV -3.61%E -0.841%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-16 23:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.33%EV -11.17%E -7.92%K -27.24%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.42%EV -16.88%E -2.96%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%EV -11.46%E -2.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-16 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 62.48%EV -12.43%E -8.94%K -31.87%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 15.37%EV -17.60%E -3.12%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 22.15%EV -12.13%E -3.09%K -4.15%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-16 23:25
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.31%EV -6.13%E -4.11%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.05%EV -18.33%E -3.27%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -14.82%E -3.90%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-16 22:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 60.44%EV -11.80%E -8.43%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.38%EV -19.79%E -3.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.18%EV -21.55%E -6.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%18.2%2026-03-16 23:25
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.14%EV -10.54%E -7.42%K -25.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.34%EV -21.25%E -3.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.52%EV -8.10%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-16 23:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-03-16 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-03-16 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-03-16 23:20
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.07%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%1.8%2026-03-16 23:25
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.01%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.63%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.37%2.8%2026-03-16 23:15