Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colo Colo v Coquimbo Unido

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 21:30 UTC

Final: Colo Colo 3–1 Coquimbo Unido

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colo Colo (Local)

Prediction 50.98%1.96fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.834%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.77%50.96%51.00%54.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.811.801.9358.82%55.19%55.56%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coquimbo Unido (Visit)

Prediction 21.80%4.59fair odd
EV +12.49%
Edge +2.42%
Kelly +3.00%
Growth +0.375%

assuming max odds 5.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.57%21.81%21.81%24.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.174.205.1627.40%23.98%23.81%19.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.22%3.67fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.558%
Kelly -0.773%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.64%27.23%27.19%29.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.343.353.6034.72%29.94%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colo Colo (Local): 50.98%; Coquimbo Unido (Visit): 21.80%; Draw: 27.22%. For Coquimbo Unido (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.59. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.49%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.13%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.57%EV +12.49%E +2.42%K +3.00%G +0.375%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.30%EV -4.46%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 21:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV +2.46%E +0.524%K +0.666%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 21:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV +2.46%E +0.524%K +0.666%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 21:20
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV +2.46%E +0.524%K +0.666%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 21:20
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -4.67%E -2.50%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.51%EV +0.720%E +0.156%K +0.199%G +0.001%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.81%EV -10.45%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 21:25
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV +0.284%E +0.062%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 21:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -13.33%E -7.84%K -19.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV +0.284%E +0.062%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 21:25
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.90%EV -5.69%E -3.07%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.06%EV -0.588%E -0.129%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.05%EV -3.37%E -0.949%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 21:25
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -1.90%E -0.421%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 21:24
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -10.79%E -6.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -1.90%E -0.421%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 21:25
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -4.08%E -0.927%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 21:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -5.17%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 21:25
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.91%EV -10.79%E -6.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.98%EV -5.60%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 21:25
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.79%E -6.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -5.60%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -12.90%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 21:25
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -6.26%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 21:24
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -6.26%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 21:25
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -7.22%E -3.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.35%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.09%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 21:15
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -7.22%E -3.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.35%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.09%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 21:26
Unibet (UK)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.93%EV -7.22%E -3.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.35%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 21:20
Coolbet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -1.61%E -0.834%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 21:01
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -5.69%E -3.07%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 21:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.73%EV -7.73%E -4.27%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 21:20
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.79%E -6.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 21:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.79%E -6.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 21:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.79%E -6.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 21:25
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -10.79%E -6.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -15.62%E -5.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-03 21:25
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.62%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 21:19
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -10.62%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 21:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -4.67%E -2.50%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 21:20
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -2.01%E -0.558%K -0.773%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 21:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -6.09%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 21:20
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 21:20
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 21:20
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 21:20
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -10.79%E -6.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 21:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.83%EV -12.32%E -7.16%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.86%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -12.90%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-03 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -7.22%E -3.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -14.98%E -3.84%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 21:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.52%EV -11.30%E -6.49%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -16.07%E -4.17%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 21:20
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -1.61%E -0.834%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -18.25%E -4.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 20:50
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -1.61%E -0.834%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -18.25%E -4.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 20:51
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -1.61%E -0.834%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -18.25%E -4.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -1.61%E -0.834%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -18.25%E -4.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 20:50
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -1.61%E -0.834%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -18.25%E -4.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 20:51
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -1.61%E -0.834%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -18.25%E -4.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 20:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 48.50%EV -11.81%E -6.82%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.37%EV -18.25%E -4.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.13%EV -21.61%E -7.50%K -11.49%G +0.000%19.2%2026-05-03 21:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -3.14%E -1.65%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -19.34%E -5.23%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.77%EV -4.16%E -2.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -20.43%E -5.60%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 13:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-05-03 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-05-03 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-05-03 21:26
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.45%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.33%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-05-03 21:25
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 50.89%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%3.4%2026-05-03 21:26