La escuela de los momios

Colo Colo v Coquimbo Unido

Inicio: 2026-05-03 21:30 UTC

Final: Colo Colo 3–1 Coquimbo Unido

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Colo Colo (Local)

Predicción 50.98%1.96momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -0.834%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.77%50.96%51.00%54.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.811.801.9358.82%55.19%55.56%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Coquimbo Unido (Visitante)

Predicción 21.80%4.59momio equitativo
EV +12.49%
Ventaja +2.42%
Kelly +3.00%
Crecimiento +0.375%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.57%21.81%21.81%24.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.654.174.205.1627.40%23.98%23.81%19.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.22%3.67momio equitativo
EV -2.01%
Ventaja -0.558%
Kelly -0.773%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.64%27.23%27.19%29.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.343.353.6034.72%29.94%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.13%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.57%EV +12.49%E +2.42%K +3.00%G +0.375%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.30%EV -4.46%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 21:25
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV +2.46%E +0.524%K +0.666%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 21:20
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV +2.46%E +0.524%K +0.666%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 21:20
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV +2.46%E +0.524%K +0.666%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 21:20
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -4.67%E -2.50%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.51%EV +0.720%E +0.156%K +0.199%G +0.001%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.81%EV -10.45%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 21:25
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV +0.284%E +0.062%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 21:24
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -13.33%E -7.84%K -19.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV +0.284%E +0.062%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 21:25
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.90%EV -5.69%E -3.07%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.06%EV -0.588%E -0.129%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.05%EV -3.37%E -0.949%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 21:25
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -1.90%E -0.421%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 21:24
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -10.79%E -6.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -1.90%E -0.421%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 21:25
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -4.08%E -0.927%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 21:25
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -5.17%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 21:25
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.91%EV -10.79%E -6.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.98%EV -5.60%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 21:25
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.79%E -6.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -5.60%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -12.90%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 21:25
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -6.26%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 21:24
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -6.26%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 21:25
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -7.22%E -3.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.35%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.09%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 21:15
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -7.22%E -3.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.35%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.09%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 21:26
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.93%EV -7.22%E -3.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.35%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 21:20
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -1.61%E -0.834%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 21:01
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -5.69%E -3.07%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 21:20
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.73%EV -7.73%E -4.27%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 21:20
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.79%E -6.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 21:25
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.79%E -6.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 21:25
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.79%E -6.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 21:25
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -10.79%E -6.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -15.62%E -5.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-03 21:25
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.62%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 21:19
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -10.62%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 21:25
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -4.67%E -2.50%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 21:20
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -2.01%E -0.558%K -0.773%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 21:20
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -6.09%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 21:20
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 21:20
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 21:20
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 21:20
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -10.79%E -6.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 21:25
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.83%EV -12.32%E -7.16%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.86%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -12.90%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-03 21:20
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -7.22%E -3.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -14.98%E -3.84%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 21:20
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.52%EV -11.30%E -6.49%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -16.07%E -4.17%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 21:20
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -1.61%E -0.834%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -18.25%E -4.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 20:50
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -1.61%E -0.834%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -18.25%E -4.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 20:51
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -1.61%E -0.834%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -18.25%E -4.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 20:50
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -1.61%E -0.834%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -18.25%E -4.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 20:50
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -1.61%E -0.834%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -18.25%E -4.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 20:51
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -1.61%E -0.834%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -18.25%E -4.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 20:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.50%EV -11.81%E -6.82%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.37%EV -18.25%E -4.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.13%EV -21.61%E -7.50%K -11.49%G +0.000%19.2%2026-05-03 21:20
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -3.14%E -1.65%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -19.34%E -5.23%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 20:50
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.77%EV -4.16%E -2.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -20.43%E -5.60%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 13:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-05-03 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-05-03 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-05-03 21:26
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.45%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.33%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-05-03 21:25
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 50.89%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%3.4%2026-05-03 21:26