L’École des cotes

Colo Colo v Coquimbo Unido

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 21:30 UTC

Score final : Colo Colo 3–1 Coquimbo Unido

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Colo Colo (Local)

Prévision 50.98%1.96cote équitable
EV -1.61%
Avantage -0.834%
Kelly -1.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.77%50.96%51.00%54.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.811.801.9358.82%55.19%55.56%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Coquimbo Unido (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.80%4.59cote équitable
EV +12.49%
Avantage +2.42%
Kelly +3.00%
Croissance +0.375%

avec la cote maximale 5.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.57%21.81%21.81%24.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.654.174.205.1627.40%23.98%23.81%19.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.22%3.67cote équitable
EV -2.01%
Avantage -0.558%
Kelly -0.773%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.64%27.23%27.19%29.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.343.353.6034.72%29.94%29.85%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.13%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.57%EV +12.49%E +2.42%K +3.00%G +0.375%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.30%EV -4.46%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 21:25
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV +2.46%E +0.524%K +0.666%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 21:20
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV +2.46%E +0.524%K +0.666%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 21:20
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV +2.46%E +0.524%K +0.666%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 21:20
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -4.67%E -2.50%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.51%EV +0.720%E +0.156%K +0.199%G +0.001%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.81%EV -10.45%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 21:25
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV +0.284%E +0.062%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 21:24
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -13.33%E -7.84%K -19.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV +0.284%E +0.062%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 21:25
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.90%EV -5.69%E -3.07%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.06%EV -0.588%E -0.129%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.05%EV -3.37%E -0.949%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 21:25
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -1.90%E -0.421%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 21:24
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -10.79%E -6.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -1.90%E -0.421%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 21:25
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -4.08%E -0.927%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 21:25
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -5.17%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 21:25
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.91%EV -10.79%E -6.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.98%EV -5.60%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 21:25
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.79%E -6.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -5.60%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -12.90%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 21:25
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -6.26%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 21:24
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -6.26%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 21:25
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -7.22%E -3.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.35%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.09%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 21:15
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -7.22%E -3.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.35%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.09%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 21:26
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.93%EV -7.22%E -3.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.35%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 21:20
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.12%EV -1.61%E -0.834%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 21:01
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -5.69%E -3.07%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 21:20
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.73%EV -7.73%E -4.27%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 21:20
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.79%E -6.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 21:25
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.79%E -6.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 21:25
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.79%E -6.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 21:25
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -10.79%E -6.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -8.44%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -15.62%E -5.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-03 21:25
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.62%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 21:19
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -10.62%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 21:25
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -4.67%E -2.50%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 21:20
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -2.01%E -0.558%K -0.773%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 21:20
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -6.09%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 21:20
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 21:20
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 21:20
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 21:20
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -10.79%E -6.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 21:25
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.83%EV -12.32%E -7.16%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.86%EV -12.80%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -12.90%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-03 21:20
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -7.22%E -3.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -14.98%E -3.84%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 21:20
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.52%EV -11.30%E -6.49%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -16.07%E -4.17%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 21:20
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -1.61%E -0.834%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -18.25%E -4.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 20:50
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -1.61%E -0.834%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -18.25%E -4.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 20:51
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -1.61%E -0.834%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -18.25%E -4.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 20:50
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -1.61%E -0.834%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -18.25%E -4.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 20:50
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -1.61%E -0.834%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -18.25%E -4.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 20:51
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -1.61%E -0.834%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -18.25%E -4.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 20:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.50%EV -11.81%E -6.82%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.37%EV -18.25%E -4.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.13%EV -21.61%E -7.50%K -11.49%G +0.000%19.2%2026-05-03 21:20
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -3.14%E -1.65%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -19.34%E -5.23%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 20:50
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.77%EV -4.16%E -2.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -20.43%E -5.60%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 13:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-05-03 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-05-03 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-05-03 21:26
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.45%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.33%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-05-03 21:25
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 50.89%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%3.4%2026-05-03 21:26