Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Audax Italiano v Everton de Viña del Mar

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Audax Italiano (Local)

Prediction 43.59%2.29fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -3.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.12%43.73%43.58%46.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.112.102.2051.28%47.42%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Everton de Viña del Mar (Visit)

Prediction 27.05%3.70fair odd
EV +1.44%
Edge +0.385%
Kelly +0.525%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.18%26.94%27.13%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.303.7532.26%29.80%30.30%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.36%3.41fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -0.940%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.33%29.33%29.29%30.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.113.103.3035.71%32.11%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Audax Italiano (Local): 43.59%; Everton de Viña del Mar (Visit): 27.05%; Draw: 29.36%. For Everton de Viña del Mar (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.70. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.75%EV -6.29%E -2.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV +1.44%E +0.385%K +0.525%G +0.008%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.60%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 18:09
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.27%EV -5.42%E -2.50%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.61%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.10%E -0.940%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 20:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.67%EV -4.11%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.61%E -0.726%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.65%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 20:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.67%EV -4.11%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.61%E -0.726%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.65%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 20:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -15.01%E -7.70%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -2.61%E -0.726%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 20:50
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.11%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.03%EV -3.70%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.24%EV -3.40%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 20:50
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -9.34%E -4.49%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 20:55
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -9.34%E -4.49%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 20:55
GTbets🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.31%EV -7.16%E -3.36%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.66%EV -4.24%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 20:55
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.29%E -2.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 21:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.16%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.35%EV -7.21%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 20:55
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.29%E -2.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -3.10%E -0.940%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.11%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-20 05:35
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.29%E -2.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 20:44
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 20:50
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.29%E -2.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 19:49
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.51%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 20:54
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.51%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 20:54
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-20 05:35
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.44%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 20:50
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.65%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-22 20:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.05%EV -7.16%E -3.36%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.38%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 20:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.29%E -2.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 21:05
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 20:45
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-20 05:34
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 20:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 20:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 20:45
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -12.83%E -6.41%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-22 20:45
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 20:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 20:29
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 20:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 20:29
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 20:30
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 20:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 20:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -5.86%E -2.71%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -10.44%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 20:29
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-20 05:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.19%EV -6.73%E -3.14%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -10.44%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-22 20:30
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.65%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-22 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.65%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-22 20:50
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.65%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-22 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.65%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-22 20:54
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -12.83%E -6.41%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-22 20:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 43.76%EV -13.26%E -6.67%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-22 20:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.46%EV -12.83%E -6.41%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -16.14%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -10.44%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-22 20:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 43.00%EV -15.01%E -7.70%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.05%EV -16.14%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.95%EV -17.78%E -6.35%K -9.88%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-22 20:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-02-22 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-02-22 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-02-22 20:55
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.40%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.78%3.3%2026-02-22 20:50