Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Audax Italiano v Everton de Viña del Mar

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 21:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Audax Italiano (Local)

Prévision 43.59%2.29cote équitable
EV -4.11%
Avantage -1.87%
Kelly -3.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.12%43.73%43.58%46.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.112.102.2051.28%47.42%47.62%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Everton de Viña del Mar (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.05%3.70cote équitable
EV +1.44%
Avantage +0.385%
Kelly +0.525%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.18%26.94%27.13%28.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.363.303.7532.26%29.80%30.30%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.36%3.41cote équitable
EV -3.10%
Avantage -0.940%
Kelly -1.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.33%29.33%29.29%30.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.113.103.3035.71%32.11%32.26%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Audax Italiano (Local) : 43.59% ; Everton de Viña del Mar (Visiteur) : 27.05% ; Match nul : 29.36%. Pour Everton de Viña del Mar (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.70. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.75, soit une espérance positive de +1.44%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.75%EV -6.29%E -2.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV +1.44%E +0.385%K +0.525%G +0.008%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.60%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 18:09
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.27%EV -5.42%E -2.50%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.61%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.10%E -0.940%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 20:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.67%EV -4.11%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.61%E -0.726%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.65%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 20:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.67%EV -4.11%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.61%E -0.726%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.65%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 20:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -15.01%E -7.70%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -2.61%E -0.726%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 20:50
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.11%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.03%EV -3.70%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.24%EV -3.40%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 20:50
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -9.34%E -4.49%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 20:55
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -9.34%E -4.49%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 20:55
GTbets🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.31%EV -7.16%E -3.36%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.66%EV -4.24%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 20:55
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.29%E -2.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 21:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.16%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.35%EV -7.21%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 20:55
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.29%E -2.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -3.10%E -0.940%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.11%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-20 05:35
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.29%E -2.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 20:44
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 20:50
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.29%E -2.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 19:49
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.51%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 20:54
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.51%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 20:54
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-20 05:35
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.44%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 20:50
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.65%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-22 20:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.05%EV -7.16%E -3.36%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.38%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 20:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.29%E -2.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 21:05
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 20:45
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-20 05:34
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 20:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 20:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 20:45
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -12.83%E -6.41%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-22 20:45
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 20:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 20:29
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 20:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 20:29
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 20:30
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 20:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 20:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -5.86%E -2.71%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -10.44%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 20:29
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-20 05:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.19%EV -6.73%E -3.14%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -10.44%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-22 20:30
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.65%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-22 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.65%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-22 20:50
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.65%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-22 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.65%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-22 20:54
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -12.83%E -6.41%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-22 20:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 43.76%EV -13.26%E -6.67%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-22 20:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.46%EV -12.83%E -6.41%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -16.14%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -10.44%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-22 20:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 43.00%EV -15.01%E -7.70%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.05%EV -16.14%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.95%EV -17.78%E -6.35%K -9.88%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-22 20:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-02-22 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-02-22 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-02-22 20:55
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.40%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.78%3.3%2026-02-22 20:50