La escuela de los momios

Audax Italiano v Everton de Viña del Mar

Inicio: 2026-02-22 21:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Audax Italiano (Local)

Predicción 43.59%2.29momio equitativo
EV -4.11%
Ventaja -1.87%
Kelly -3.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.12%43.73%43.58%46.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.112.102.2051.28%47.42%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Everton de Viña del Mar (Visitante)

Predicción 27.05%3.70momio equitativo
EV +1.44%
Ventaja +0.385%
Kelly +0.525%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.18%26.94%27.13%28.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.363.303.7532.26%29.80%30.30%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.36%3.41momio equitativo
EV -3.10%
Ventaja -0.940%
Kelly -1.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.33%29.33%29.29%30.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.113.103.3035.71%32.11%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.75%EV -6.29%E -2.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV +1.44%E +0.385%K +0.525%G +0.008%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.60%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 18:09
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.27%EV -5.42%E -2.50%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.61%EV -2.34%E -0.649%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.10%E -0.940%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 20:49
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.67%EV -4.11%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.61%E -0.726%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.65%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 20:50
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.67%EV -4.11%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.61%E -0.726%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.65%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 20:50
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -15.01%E -7.70%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -2.61%E -0.726%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 20:50
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.11%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.03%EV -3.70%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.24%EV -3.40%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 20:50
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -9.34%E -4.49%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 20:55
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -9.34%E -4.49%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 20:55
GTbets2.13I 46.95%NM 44.31%EV -7.16%E -3.36%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.66%EV -4.24%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 20:55
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.29%E -2.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 21:00
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.16%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.35%EV -7.21%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 20:55
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.29%E -2.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -3.10%E -0.940%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:49
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.11%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-20 05:35
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.29%E -2.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 20:44
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 20:50
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.29%E -2.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 19:49
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.51%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 20:54
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.51%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 20:54
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-20 05:35
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.44%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 20:50
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.65%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-22 20:54
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 43.05%EV -7.16%E -3.36%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.38%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 20:50
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.29%E -2.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 21:05
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 20:45
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-20 05:34
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 20:45
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 20:45
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 20:45
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -12.83%E -6.41%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-22 20:45
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 20:29
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 20:29
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 20:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 20:29
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 20:30
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 20:30
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 20:45
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -5.86%E -2.71%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -10.44%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 20:29
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-20 05:35
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.19%EV -6.73%E -3.14%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -10.44%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-22 20:30
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.65%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-22 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.65%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-22 20:50
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.65%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-22 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.65%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-22 20:54
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -12.83%E -6.41%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-22 20:45
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 43.76%EV -13.26%E -6.67%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -13.43%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-22 20:49
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.46%EV -12.83%E -6.41%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -16.14%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -10.44%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-22 20:45
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 43.00%EV -15.01%E -7.70%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.05%EV -16.14%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.95%EV -17.78%E -6.35%K -9.88%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-22 20:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-02-22 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-02-22 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-02-22 20:55
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.40%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.78%3.3%2026-02-22 20:50