Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.64
assuming max odds 2.76
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Audax Italiano (Local): 36.81%; Deportes Limache (Visit): 35.44%; Draw: 27.76%. For Deportes Limache (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.76, with an expected value of -2.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.37%EV -2.83%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.07%EV -5.07%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-24 00:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.07%EV -2.83%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.93%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 13:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.30%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.16%EV -4.30%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -5.74%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.16%EV -4.30%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -5.74%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.04%E -1.95%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 17:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.04%E -1.95%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 17:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.99%EV -6.14%E -2.41%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.17%EV -2.20%E -0.796%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.84%EV -9.23%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.48%EV -6.51%E -2.56%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.10%EV -6.45%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.42%EV -9.51%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 00:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.48%EV -6.51%E -2.56%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.10%EV -6.45%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.42%EV -9.51%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 00:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 12:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-24 01:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-24 02:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.18%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.18%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-24 00:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -13.95%E -4.50%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -13.95%E -4.50%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -13.95%E -4.50%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -2.85%E -0.814%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 16:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.54%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -12.57%E -3.99%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-24 03:08 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 36.93%EV -10.19%E -4.18%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -11.66%E -4.86%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 12:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.66%E -4.86%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-23 12:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -11.66%E -4.86%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 12:53 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -11.66%E -4.86%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -14.95%E -6.23%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.95%E -4.50%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 00:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 00:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 00:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 00:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 16:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-23 12:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -12.77%E -5.39%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -12.77%E -5.39%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 16:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -13.50%E -5.75%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 00:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -13.50%E -5.75%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -13.50%E -5.75%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -13.18%E -5.38%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.78%EV -14.61%E -6.30%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 00:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -15.34%E -6.67%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -11.18%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.27%EV -15.34%E -6.67%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.76%EV -14.95%E -6.23%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.97%EV -20.06%E -6.97%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-04-23 12:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.47% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.47% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.28% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.74% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.58% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.23% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19% | 4.3% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.66% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.84% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |