L’École des cotes

Audax Italiano v Deportes Limache

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 00:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Audax Italiano (Local)

Prévision 36.81%2.72cote équitable
EV -2.83%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -1.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.63%36.94%36.82%38.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.452.452.6443.48%40.77%40.82%37.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Deportes Limache (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.44%2.82cote équitable
EV -2.20%
Avantage -0.796%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.70%35.31%35.41%36.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.602.602.7641.67%38.48%38.46%36.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.76%3.60cote équitable
EV -2.85%
Avantage -0.814%
Kelly -1.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.49%27.75%27.77%28.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.283.303.5034.72%30.45%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.64I 37.88%NM 36.37%EV -2.83%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.07%EV -5.07%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 00:50
Coolbet2.64I 37.88%NM 36.07%EV -2.83%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.93%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:00
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.30%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 00:34
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.16%EV -4.30%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -5.74%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 00:34
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.16%EV -4.30%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -5.74%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 00:35
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.04%E -1.95%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 17:19
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.04%E -1.95%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 17:19
GTbets2.55I 39.22%NM 36.99%EV -6.14%E -2.41%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.17%EV -2.20%E -0.796%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.84%EV -9.23%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 00:35
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.48%EV -6.51%E -2.56%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.10%EV -6.45%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.42%EV -9.51%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 00:45
Marathon Bet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.48%EV -6.51%E -2.56%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.10%EV -6.45%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.42%EV -9.51%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 00:39
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 12:49
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 01:59
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 02:08
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 02:05
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 00:34
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.18%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-24 02:00
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.18%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-24 00:40
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -13.95%E -4.50%K -6.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-24 02:00
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -13.95%E -4.50%K -6.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-24 02:00
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -13.95%E -4.50%K -6.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-24 02:00
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -2.85%E -0.814%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 00:34
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 16:55
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 02:00
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 16:14
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-24 00:34
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.54%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -12.57%E -3.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-24 03:08
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 36.93%EV -10.19%E -4.18%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-24 02:05
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -11.66%E -4.86%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 12:49
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.66%E -4.86%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 12:49
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -11.66%E -4.86%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 12:53
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -11.66%E -4.86%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -14.95%E -6.23%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.95%E -4.50%K -6.64%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 12:24
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 00:49
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 00:50
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 00:50
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 00:50
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 00:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 16:54
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 16:55
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-23 12:49
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -12.77%E -5.39%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -12.77%E -5.39%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 16:54
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -13.50%E -5.75%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 00:50
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -13.50%E -5.75%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 15:04
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -13.50%E -5.75%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -13.18%E -5.38%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-24 02:00
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.78%EV -14.61%E -6.30%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 00:50
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -15.34%E -6.67%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -11.18%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-24 02:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.27%EV -15.34%E -6.67%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.76%EV -14.95%E -6.23%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.97%EV -20.06%E -6.97%K -10.67%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-23 12:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.47%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12%3.1%2026-04-24 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.47%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12%3.1%2026-04-24 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.28%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%3.6%2026-04-24 00:10
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 36.58%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.23%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%4.3%2026-04-24 03:25
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 38.66%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.84%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%6.0%2026-04-24 03:00