La scuola delle quote

Audax Italiano v Deportes Limache

Inizio: 2026-04-25 00:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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48 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Audax Italiano (Casa)

Previsione 36.81%2.72quota equa
EV -2.83%
Vantaggio -1.07%
Kelly -1.72%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.63%36.94%36.82%38.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.452.452.6443.48%40.77%40.82%37.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Deportes Limache (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.44%2.82quota equa
EV -2.20%
Vantaggio -0.796%
Kelly -1.25%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.76

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.70%35.31%35.41%36.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.602.602.7641.67%38.48%38.46%36.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.76%3.60quota equa
EV -2.85%
Vantaggio -0.814%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.49%27.75%27.77%28.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.283.303.5034.72%30.45%30.30%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.64I 37.88%NM 36.37%EV -2.83%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.07%EV -5.07%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 00:50
Coolbet2.64I 37.88%NM 36.07%EV -2.83%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.93%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:00
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.30%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 00:34
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.16%EV -4.30%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -5.74%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 00:34
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.16%EV -4.30%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -5.74%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 00:35
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.04%E -1.95%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 17:19
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.04%E -1.95%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 17:19
GTbets2.55I 39.22%NM 36.99%EV -6.14%E -2.41%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.17%EV -2.20%E -0.796%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.84%EV -9.23%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 00:35
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.48%EV -6.51%E -2.56%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.10%EV -6.45%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.42%EV -9.51%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 00:45
Marathon Bet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.48%EV -6.51%E -2.56%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.10%EV -6.45%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.42%EV -9.51%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 00:39
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 12:49
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 01:59
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 02:08
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 02:05
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 00:34
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.18%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-24 02:00
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.18%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-24 00:40
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -13.95%E -4.50%K -6.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-24 02:00
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -13.95%E -4.50%K -6.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-24 02:00
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -13.95%E -4.50%K -6.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-24 02:00
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -2.85%E -0.814%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 00:34
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 16:55
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 02:00
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 16:14
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-24 00:34
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.54%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -12.57%E -3.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-24 03:08
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 36.93%EV -10.19%E -4.18%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-24 02:05
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -11.66%E -4.86%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.63%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 12:49
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.66%E -4.86%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 12:49
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -11.66%E -4.86%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 12:53
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -11.66%E -4.86%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -14.95%E -6.23%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.95%E -4.50%K -6.64%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 12:24
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 00:49
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 00:50
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 00:50
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 00:50
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 00:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 16:54
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 16:55
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-23 12:49
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -12.77%E -5.39%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -12.77%E -5.39%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 16:54
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -13.50%E -5.75%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 00:50
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -13.50%E -5.75%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 15:04
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -13.50%E -5.75%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -13.18%E -5.38%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-24 02:00
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.78%EV -14.61%E -6.30%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 00:50
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -15.34%E -6.67%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -11.18%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-24 02:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.27%EV -15.34%E -6.67%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.76%EV -14.95%E -6.23%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.97%EV -20.06%E -6.97%K -10.67%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-23 12:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.47%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12%3.1%2026-04-24 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.47%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12%3.1%2026-04-24 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.28%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%3.6%2026-04-24 00:10
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 36.58%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.23%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%4.3%2026-04-24 03:25
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 38.66%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.84%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%6.0%2026-04-24 03:00