Language:English
Audax Italiano v Deportes Concepción
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Audax Italiano (Local)
Prediction 43.55%2.30fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -3.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.49%43.59%43.61%46.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.112.122.2052.63%47.46%47.17%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Deportes Concepción (Visit)
Prediction 27.07%3.69fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.326%
Kelly -0.449%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.18%27.13%26.94%28.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.313.273.6532.26%30.24%30.53%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.38%3.40fair odd
EV -0.114%
Edge -0.034%
Kelly -0.048%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.22%29.27%29.45%31.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.103.133.4037.04%32.24%31.90%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Audax Italiano (Local): 43.55%; Deportes Concepción (Visit): 27.07%; Draw: 29.38%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.404. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.400, with an expected value of -0.114%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 22:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.98%EV -4.62%E -2.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.39%EV -1.19%E -0.326%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 09:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 09:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 09:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 09:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 09:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.23%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.54%E -0.706%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.35%EV -4.81%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.23%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.54%E -0.706%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.35%EV -4.81%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 22:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-13 22:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -16.08%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-13 22:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -16.08%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-13 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -16.08%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-13 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -16.08%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-13 22:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.83%EV -6.80%E -3.18%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.95%EV -3.63%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -0.114%E -0.034%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.40%EV -6.80%E -3.18%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -14.72%E -4.67%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-13 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.48%EV -7.24%E -3.40%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -8.34%E -2.67%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 22:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 22:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -14.72%E -4.67%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-13 22:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 22:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-13 22:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-13 22:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.40%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-13 22:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-13 22:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-13 22:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-13 22:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-13 22:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -16.08%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -10.40%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-13 22:54 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.84%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -14.72%E -4.67%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 43.35%EV -12.46%E -6.20%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 27.40%EV -13.91%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.24%EV -12.45%E -4.18%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-13 22:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.91%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.04%EV -16.08%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.05%EV -20.68%E -7.66%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-13 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -15.08%E -7.73%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -2.54%E -0.706%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-13 22:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 43.83%EV -17.25%E -9.08%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.43%EV -14.72%E -4.67%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.74%EV -17.74%E -6.34%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-03-13 22:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.92% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35% | 1.7% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |