La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Audax Italiano v Deportes Concepción
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Audax Italiano (Local)
Predicción 43.55%2.30momio equitativo
EV -4.19%
Ventaja -1.90%
Kelly -3.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.49%43.59%43.61%46.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.112.122.2052.63%47.46%47.17%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Deportes Concepción (Visitante)
Predicción 27.07%3.69momio equitativo
EV -1.19%
Ventaja -0.326%
Kelly -0.449%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.18%27.13%26.94%28.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.313.273.6532.26%30.24%30.53%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.38%3.40momio equitativo
EV -0.114%
Ventaja -0.034%
Kelly -0.048%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.22%29.27%29.45%31.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.103.133.4037.04%32.24%31.90%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 22:19 |
| Pinnacle | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.98%EV -4.62%E -2.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.39%EV -1.19%E -0.326%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 09:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 09:14 |
| Grosvenor | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 09:14 |
| TABtouch | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 09:14 |
| Unibet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 09:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.23%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.54%E -0.706%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.35%EV -4.81%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.23%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.54%E -0.706%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.35%EV -4.81%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 22:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-13 22:54 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -16.08%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-13 22:20 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -16.08%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-13 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -16.08%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-13 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -16.08%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-13 22:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.83%EV -6.80%E -3.18%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.95%EV -3.63%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -0.114%E -0.034%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.40%EV -6.80%E -3.18%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -14.72%E -4.67%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-13 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.48%EV -7.24%E -3.40%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -8.34%E -2.67%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 22:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 22:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -14.72%E -4.67%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-13 22:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 22:53 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-13 22:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-13 22:24 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.40%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-13 22:54 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-13 22:24 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-13 22:24 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-13 22:25 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-13 22:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -16.08%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -10.40%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-13 22:54 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.84%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -14.72%E -4.67%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.01I 49.75%NM 43.35%EV -12.46%E -6.20%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 27.40%EV -13.91%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.24%EV -12.45%E -4.18%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-13 22:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.91%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.04%EV -16.08%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.05%EV -20.68%E -7.66%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-13 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -15.08%E -7.73%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -2.54%E -0.706%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-13 22:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 43.83%EV -17.25%E -9.08%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.43%EV -14.72%E -4.67%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.74%EV -17.74%E -6.34%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-03-13 22:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.92% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35% | 1.7% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |