L’École des cotes

Audax Italiano v Deportes Concepción

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-13 23:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Audax Italiano (Local)

Prévision 43.55%2.30cote équitable
EV -4.19%
Avantage -1.90%
Kelly -3.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.49%43.59%43.61%46.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.112.122.2052.63%47.46%47.17%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Deportes Concepción (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.07%3.69cote équitable
EV -1.19%
Avantage -0.326%
Kelly -0.449%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.18%27.13%26.94%28.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.313.273.6532.26%30.24%30.53%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.38%3.40cote équitable
EV -0.114%
Avantage -0.034%
Kelly -0.048%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.22%29.27%29.45%31.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.103.133.4037.04%32.24%31.90%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 22:19
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 43.98%EV -4.62%E -2.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.39%EV -1.19%E -0.326%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 22:55
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 09:15
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 09:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 09:14
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 09:14
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 09:14
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 09:14
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.23%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.54%E -0.706%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.35%EV -4.81%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 22:55
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.23%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.54%E -0.706%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.35%EV -4.81%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 22:55
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 22:54
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-13 22:54
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -16.08%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-13 22:20
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -16.08%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-13 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -16.08%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-13 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -16.08%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-13 22:20
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.83%EV -6.80%E -3.18%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.95%EV -3.63%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -0.114%E -0.034%K -0.048%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 22:55
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.40%EV -6.80%E -3.18%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -14.72%E -4.67%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-13 22:25
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.48%EV -7.24%E -3.40%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -8.34%E -2.67%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 22:55
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 22:54
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 22:54
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -7.67%E -3.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -14.72%E -4.67%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-13 22:25
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 22:53
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 22:25
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 22:24
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.40%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 22:55
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-13 22:55
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -7.46%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-13 22:54
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.54%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-13 22:24
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-13 22:24
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-13 22:25
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-13 22:55
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-13 22:54
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-13 22:55
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -16.08%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -10.40%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-13 22:54
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.84%EV -10.72%E -5.23%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -14.72%E -4.67%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-13 22:55
Unibet (FR)2.01I 49.75%NM 43.35%EV -12.46%E -6.20%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.40%EV -13.91%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.24%EV -12.45%E -4.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-13 22:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.91%EV -12.90%E -6.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.04%EV -16.08%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.05%EV -20.68%E -7.66%K -12.16%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-13 22:25
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -15.08%E -7.73%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -2.54%E -0.706%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -5.99%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 22:30
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.83%EV -17.25%E -9.08%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.43%EV -14.72%E -4.67%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.74%EV -17.74%E -6.34%K -9.86%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-13 22:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-03-13 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.92%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07%1.2%2026-03-13 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%1.7%2026-03-13 22:55