StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Vila Nova v Atletico Goianiense

Matchstart: 2026-04-04 23:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

44 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Vila Nova (Hemma)

Prognos 43.89%2.28rättvist odds
EV +0.061%
Fördel +0.027%
Kelly +0.048%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.28

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
41.09%44.00%43.71%46.80%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.932.132.132.2851.81%46.89%46.84%43.86%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Atletico Goianiense (Borta)

Prognos 24.17%4.14rättvist odds
EV +3.19%
Fördel +0.748%
Kelly +0.977%
Tillväxt +0.031%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.27

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.51%24.06%24.32%26.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.773.754.2729.41%26.53%26.67%23.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 31.95%3.13rättvist odds
EV -2.88%
Fördel -0.948%
Kelly -1.41%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.04

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.74%31.94%31.96%32.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.752.862.873.0436.36%34.91%34.90%32.89%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Vila Nova (Hemma): 43.89%; Atletico Goianiense (Borta): 24.17%; Oavgjort: 31.95%. För Atletico Goianiense (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.14. 5 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.27, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.19%.

Spelbolagsodds (44 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.82%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.53%EV +3.19%E +0.748%K +0.977%G +0.031%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.65%EV -2.88%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 22:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.08%E -2.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.92%EV +1.50%E +0.358%K +0.469%G +0.007%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.09%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 22:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.08%E -2.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.92%EV +1.50%E +0.358%K +0.469%G +0.007%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.09%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 22:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.80%EV -15.30%E -7.93%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV +1.50%E +0.358%K +0.469%G +0.007%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.69%EV -8.95%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 22:54
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.47%EV -11.79%E -5.86%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.40%EV +0.777%E +0.186%K +0.245%G +0.002%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 22:54
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -0.915%E -0.223%K -0.295%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -8.95%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 22:43
Bovada🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.21%EV -10.47%E -5.13%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.77%EV -2.12%E -0.524%K -0.696%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 22:54
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -3.33%E -0.833%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -5.76%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 22:54
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.33%E -0.833%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 22:40
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -12.23%E -6.11%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.33%E -0.833%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 22:45
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.75%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 22:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.75%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 22:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.75%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 22:54
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -6.96%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 22:54
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 22:49
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -5.64%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 22:49
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.03%EV -12.23%E -6.11%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.27%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 22:48
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.77%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.62%EV -12.15%E -4.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 22:40
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.01%EV -6.96%E -3.28%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 22:54
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -5.64%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 22:50
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -5.64%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 22:49
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -5.64%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 22:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -5.64%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -8.95%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 22:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -10.58%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -5.76%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 22:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.05%EV -6.52%E -3.06%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.58%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.17%EV -8.95%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 22:49
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -1.26%E -0.558%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 22:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -1.26%E -0.558%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 22:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -1.26%E -0.558%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 22:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -1.26%E -0.558%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 22:54
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -5.64%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -13.00%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 22:34
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.00%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 22:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.00%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 22:49
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.00%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.00%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 22:49
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV +0.061%E +0.027%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 22:45
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV +0.061%E +0.027%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV +0.061%E +0.027%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 22:45
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV +0.061%E +0.027%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 22:44
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -2.13%E -0.957%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 22:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV -4.77%E -2.20%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -15.42%E -4.40%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -12.15%E -4.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 22:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV -4.77%E -2.20%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -15.42%E -4.40%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -12.15%E -4.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 22:54
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -16.62%E -4.82%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 22:45
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.09%EV -4.33%E -1.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -17.83%E -5.24%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -12.15%E -4.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 22:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-04-04 22:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-04-04 22:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-04-04 22:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-04-04 22:54
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.13%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.71%2.6%2026-04-04 22:54