L’École des cotes

Vila Nova v Atletico Goianiense

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 23:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vila Nova (Local)

Prévision 43.89%2.28cote équitable
EV +0.061%
Avantage +0.027%
Kelly +0.048%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.09%44.00%43.71%46.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.932.132.132.2851.81%46.89%46.84%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atletico Goianiense (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.17%4.14cote équitable
EV +3.19%
Avantage +0.748%
Kelly +0.977%
Croissance +0.031%

avec la cote maximale 4.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.51%24.06%24.32%26.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.773.754.2729.41%26.53%26.67%23.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.95%3.13cote équitable
EV -2.88%
Avantage -0.948%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.74%31.94%31.96%32.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.862.873.0436.36%34.91%34.90%32.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 45.82%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.53%EV +3.19%E +0.748%K +0.977%G +0.031%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.65%EV -2.88%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 22:54
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.08%E -2.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.92%EV +1.50%E +0.358%K +0.469%G +0.007%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.09%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 22:54
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.08%E -2.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.92%EV +1.50%E +0.358%K +0.469%G +0.007%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.09%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 22:54
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.80%EV -15.30%E -7.93%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV +1.50%E +0.358%K +0.469%G +0.007%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.69%EV -8.95%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 22:54
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.47%EV -11.79%E -5.86%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.40%EV +0.777%E +0.186%K +0.245%G +0.002%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 22:54
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -0.915%E -0.223%K -0.295%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -8.95%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 22:43
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 45.21%EV -10.47%E -5.13%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.77%EV -2.12%E -0.524%K -0.696%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 22:54
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -3.33%E -0.833%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -5.76%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 22:54
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.33%E -0.833%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 22:40
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -12.23%E -6.11%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.33%E -0.833%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 22:45
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.75%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 22:54
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.75%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 22:54
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.75%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 22:54
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -6.96%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 22:54
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 22:49
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -5.64%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 22:49
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.03%EV -12.23%E -6.11%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.27%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 22:48
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.77%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.62%EV -12.15%E -4.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 22:40
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.01%EV -6.96%E -3.28%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 22:54
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -5.64%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 22:50
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -5.64%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 22:49
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -5.64%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 22:34
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -5.64%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -8.95%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 22:49
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -10.58%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -5.76%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 22:54
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 43.05%EV -6.52%E -3.06%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.58%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.17%EV -8.95%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 22:49
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -1.26%E -0.558%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 22:54
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -1.26%E -0.558%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 22:54
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -1.26%E -0.558%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 22:54
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -1.26%E -0.558%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 22:54
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -5.64%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -13.00%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 22:34
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.00%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 22:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.00%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 22:49
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.00%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.00%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 22:49
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV +0.061%E +0.027%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 22:45
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV +0.061%E +0.027%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 22:45
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV +0.061%E +0.027%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 22:45
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV +0.061%E +0.027%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 22:44
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -2.13%E -0.957%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 22:54
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV -4.77%E -2.20%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -15.42%E -4.40%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -12.15%E -4.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 22:54
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV -4.77%E -2.20%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -15.42%E -4.40%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -12.15%E -4.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 22:54
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -16.62%E -4.82%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 22:45
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.09%EV -4.33%E -1.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -17.83%E -5.24%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -12.15%E -4.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 22:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-04-04 22:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-04-04 22:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-04-04 22:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-04-04 22:54
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.13%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.71%2.6%2026-04-04 22:54