A Escola das Odds

Vila Nova v Atletico Goianiense

Início: 2026-04-04 23:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Vila Nova (Local)

Previsão 43.89%2.28odd justa
EV +0.061%
Vantagem +0.027%
Kelly +0.048%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.09%44.00%43.71%46.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.932.132.132.2851.81%46.89%46.84%43.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atletico Goianiense (Visitante)

Previsão 24.17%4.14odd justa
EV +3.19%
Vantagem +0.748%
Kelly +0.977%
Crescimento +0.031%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.51%24.06%24.32%26.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.773.754.2729.41%26.53%26.67%23.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.95%3.13odd justa
EV -2.88%
Vantagem -0.948%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.74%31.94%31.96%32.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.752.862.873.0436.36%34.91%34.90%32.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 45.82%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.53%EV +3.19%E +0.748%K +0.977%G +0.031%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.65%EV -2.88%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 22:54
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.08%E -2.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.92%EV +1.50%E +0.358%K +0.469%G +0.007%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.09%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 22:54
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.08%E -2.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.92%EV +1.50%E +0.358%K +0.469%G +0.007%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.09%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 22:54
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.80%EV -15.30%E -7.93%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV +1.50%E +0.358%K +0.469%G +0.007%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.69%EV -8.95%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 22:54
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.47%EV -11.79%E -5.86%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.40%EV +0.777%E +0.186%K +0.245%G +0.002%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 22:54
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -0.915%E -0.223%K -0.295%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -8.95%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 22:43
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 45.21%EV -10.47%E -5.13%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.77%EV -2.12%E -0.524%K -0.696%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.02%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 22:54
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -3.33%E -0.833%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -5.76%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 22:54
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.33%E -0.833%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 22:40
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -12.23%E -6.11%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.33%E -0.833%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 22:45
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.75%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 22:54
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.75%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 22:54
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.75%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 22:54
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -6.96%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 22:54
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 22:49
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -5.64%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 22:49
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.03%EV -12.23%E -6.11%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.27%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 22:48
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.77%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -8.17%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.62%EV -12.15%E -4.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 22:40
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.01%EV -6.96%E -3.28%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 22:54
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -5.64%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 22:50
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -5.64%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 22:49
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -5.64%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 22:34
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -5.64%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -8.95%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 22:49
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -10.58%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -5.76%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 22:54
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 43.05%EV -6.52%E -3.06%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.58%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.17%EV -8.95%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 22:49
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -1.26%E -0.558%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 22:54
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -1.26%E -0.558%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 22:54
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -1.26%E -0.558%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 22:54
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -1.26%E -0.558%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 22:54
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -5.64%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -13.00%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 22:34
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.00%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 22:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.00%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 22:49
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.00%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -10.03%E -4.89%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.00%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 22:49
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV +0.061%E +0.027%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 22:45
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV +0.061%E +0.027%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 22:45
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV +0.061%E +0.027%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 22:45
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV +0.061%E +0.027%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -7.99%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 22:44
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -2.13%E -0.957%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -14.21%E -4.00%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 22:54
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV -4.77%E -2.20%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -15.42%E -4.40%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -12.15%E -4.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 22:54
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV -4.77%E -2.20%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -15.42%E -4.40%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -12.15%E -4.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 22:54
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -16.62%E -4.82%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 22:45
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.09%EV -4.33%E -1.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -17.83%E -5.24%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -12.15%E -4.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 22:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-04-04 22:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-04-04 22:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-04-04 22:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-04-04 22:54
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.13%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.71%2.6%2026-04-04 22:54