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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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Vila Nova v América Mineiro

開賽時間： 2026-09-18 22:30 UTC

最終賽果： Vila Nova 1–0 América Mineiro

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

48 家博彩公司 (18 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Vila Nova (主隊)

預測 63.28%1.58公平賠率
EV -5.72%
優勢 -3.84%
Kelly -11.67%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.49

博彩公司預測分布
60.93%63.26%63.28%65.98%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.401.461.461.4971.43%68.62%68.73%67.11%最小值平均值中位數最大值

América Mineiro (客隊)

預測 13.24%7.55公平賠率
EV +5.94%
優勢 +0.742%
Kelly +0.848%
成長率 +0.050%

假設最高賠率為 8.00

博彩公司預測分布
11.71%13.27%13.24%15.03%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
6.006.796.608.0016.67%14.73%15.15%12.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 23.48%4.26公平賠率
EV -1.38%
優勢 -0.328%
Kelly -0.430%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.20

博彩公司預測分布
22.14%23.47%23.47%25.22%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.603.923.904.2027.78%25.51%25.64%23.81%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Vila Nova (主隊)：63.28%；América Mineiro (客隊)：13.24%；和局：23.48%。 對於「América Mineiro (客隊)」，該估計相當於7.55的公平十進位賠率。 當時有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為8.00，對應+5.94%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (48 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.02%EV -6.98%E -4.75%K -14.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV +5.94%E +0.742%K +0.848%G +0.050%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03%EV -2.55%E -0.615%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 15:25
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.98%EV -10.15%E -7.15%K -24.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +5.94%E +0.742%K +0.848%G +0.050%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -1.38%E -0.328%K -0.430%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 07:35
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.53%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.33%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.07%EV +2.63%E +0.339%K +0.389%G +0.010%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 13:50
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.685%E -0.091%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 13:49
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -0.685%E -0.091%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 13:10
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -9.52%E -6.65%K -22.13%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -0.685%E -0.091%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 13:45
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -0.685%E -0.091%K -0.105%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -0.685%E -0.091%K -0.105%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -0.685%E -0.091%K -0.105%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 13:40
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -0.685%E -0.091%K -0.105%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 13:39
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.31%EV -11.41%E -8.15%K -28.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -0.685%E -0.091%K -0.105%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 13:48
BetOnline.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.01%EV -7.62%E -5.22%K -16.56%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -2.01%E -0.272%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 13:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.01%EV -7.62%E -5.22%K -16.56%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -2.01%E -0.272%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 13:55
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.83%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.33%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.68%EV -3.33%E -0.457%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.49%EV -7.48%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 15:30
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.71%EV -4.00%E -0.551%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.88%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.78%EV -4.66%E -0.647%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.35%EV -7.48%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:25
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.31%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 13:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -7.31%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -1.38%E -0.328%K -0.430%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-17 06:45
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -7.31%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.42%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 13:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -11.41%E -8.15%K -28.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -7.31%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 13:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.16%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -10.62%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 13:40
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -10.62%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -15.47%E -4.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 14:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.51%EV -6.98%E -4.75%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.92%EV -12.60%E -1.91%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.42%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 14:45
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.32%EV -6.98%E -4.75%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.88%EV -12.60%E -1.91%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -9.59%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 14:40
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.32%EV -6.98%E -4.75%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.88%EV -12.60%E -1.91%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -9.59%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 14:40
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.72%E -0.908%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.72%E -0.908%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 10:20
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.72%E -0.908%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.72%E -0.908%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 10:20
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.72%E -0.908%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.72%E -0.908%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 10:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.72%E -0.908%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 10:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.22%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.42%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:39
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 15:08
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 15:09
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.94%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 13:14
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.14%EV -11.41%E -8.15%K -28.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-18 14:14
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.49%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -17.24%E -2.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 14:24
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.99%EV -6.98%E -4.75%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.94%EV -19.22%E -3.15%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -7.25%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.93%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -11.94%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 13:14
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.93%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -11.94%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 13:14
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.93%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -11.94%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.93%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -11.94%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 13:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.98%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.04%EV -8.42%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 10:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.98%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.04%EV -8.42%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 10:19
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -8.42%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 10:19
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.12%EV -9.52%E -6.65%K -22.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.07%EV -9.59%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-18 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.12%EV -9.52%E -6.65%K -22.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.07%EV -9.59%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-18 10:19
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.33%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.67%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.99%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%1.2%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.99%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%1.2%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.99%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%1.2%2026-09-18 15:10