Szkoła Kursówodds.school
Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)
+ Nowy modelWszystkie modele

Vila Nova v América Mineiro

Początek: 2026-09-18 22:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Vila Nova 1–0 América Mineiro

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

48 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Vila Nova (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 63.28%1.58kurs godziwy
EV -5.72%
Przewaga -3.84%
Kelly -11.67%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.49

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
60.93%63.26%63.28%65.98%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.401.461.461.4971.43%68.62%68.73%67.11%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

América Mineiro (Goście)

Prognoza 13.24%7.55kurs godziwy
EV +5.94%
Przewaga +0.742%
Kelly +0.848%
Wzrost +0.050%

przy maksymalnym kursie 8.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
11.71%13.27%13.24%15.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
6.006.796.608.0016.67%14.73%15.15%12.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 23.48%4.26kurs godziwy
EV -1.38%
Przewaga -0.328%
Kelly -0.430%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.14%23.47%23.47%25.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.603.923.904.2027.78%25.51%25.64%23.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Vila Nova (Gospodarze): 63.28%; América Mineiro (Goście): 13.24%; Remis: 23.48%. Dla wyniku América Mineiro (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 7.55. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 8.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +5.94%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (48 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.02%EV -6.98%E -4.75%K -14.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV +5.94%E +0.742%K +0.848%G +0.050%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03%EV -2.55%E -0.615%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 15:25
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.98%EV -10.15%E -7.15%K -24.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +5.94%E +0.742%K +0.848%G +0.050%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -1.38%E -0.328%K -0.430%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 07:35
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.53%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.33%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.07%EV +2.63%E +0.339%K +0.389%G +0.010%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 13:50
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.685%E -0.091%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 13:49
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -0.685%E -0.091%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 13:10
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -9.52%E -6.65%K -22.13%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -0.685%E -0.091%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 13:45
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -0.685%E -0.091%K -0.105%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -0.685%E -0.091%K -0.105%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -0.685%E -0.091%K -0.105%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 13:40
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -0.685%E -0.091%K -0.105%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 13:39
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.31%EV -11.41%E -8.15%K -28.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -0.685%E -0.091%K -0.105%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 13:48
BetOnline.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.01%EV -7.62%E -5.22%K -16.56%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -2.01%E -0.272%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 13:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.01%EV -7.62%E -5.22%K -16.56%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -2.01%E -0.272%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 13:55
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.83%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.33%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.68%EV -3.33%E -0.457%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.49%EV -7.48%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 15:30
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.71%EV -4.00%E -0.551%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.88%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.78%EV -4.66%E -0.647%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.35%EV -7.48%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:25
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.31%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 13:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -7.31%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -1.38%E -0.328%K -0.430%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-17 06:45
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -7.31%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.42%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 13:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -11.41%E -8.15%K -28.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -7.31%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 13:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.16%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -10.62%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 13:40
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -10.62%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -15.47%E -4.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 14:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.51%EV -6.98%E -4.75%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.92%EV -12.60%E -1.91%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.42%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 14:45
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.32%EV -6.98%E -4.75%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.88%EV -12.60%E -1.91%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -9.59%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 14:40
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.32%EV -6.98%E -4.75%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.88%EV -12.60%E -1.91%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -9.59%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 14:40
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.72%E -0.908%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.72%E -0.908%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 10:20
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.72%E -0.908%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.72%E -0.908%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 10:20
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.72%E -0.908%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.72%E -0.908%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 10:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.72%E -0.908%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 10:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.22%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.42%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:39
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 15:08
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 15:09
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.94%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 13:14
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.14%EV -11.41%E -8.15%K -28.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-18 14:14
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.49%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -17.24%E -2.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 14:24
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.99%EV -6.98%E -4.75%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.94%EV -19.22%E -3.15%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -7.25%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.93%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -11.94%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 13:14
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.93%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -11.94%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 13:14
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.93%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -11.94%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.93%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -11.94%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 13:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.98%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.04%EV -8.42%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 10:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.98%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.04%EV -8.42%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 10:19
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -8.42%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 10:19
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.12%EV -9.52%E -6.65%K -22.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.07%EV -9.59%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-18 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.12%EV -9.52%E -6.65%K -22.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.07%EV -9.59%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-18 10:19
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.33%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.67%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.99%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%1.2%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.99%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%1.2%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.99%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%1.2%2026-09-18 15:10