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StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)
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Vila Nova v América Mineiro

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-18 22:30 UTC

Endstand: Vila Nova 1–0 América Mineiro

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

48 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Vila Nova (Heim)

Prognose 63.28%1.58faire Quote
EV -5.72%
Vorteil -3.84%
Kelly -11.67%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.49

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
60.93%63.26%63.28%65.98%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.401.461.461.4971.43%68.62%68.73%67.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

América Mineiro (Auswärts)

Prognose 13.24%7.55faire Quote
EV +5.94%
Vorteil +0.742%
Kelly +0.848%
Wachstum +0.050%

bei einer Höchstquote von 8.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
11.71%13.27%13.24%15.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
6.006.796.608.0016.67%14.73%15.15%12.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 23.48%4.26faire Quote
EV -1.38%
Vorteil -0.328%
Kelly -0.430%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.14%23.47%23.47%25.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.603.923.904.2027.78%25.51%25.64%23.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Vila Nova (Heim): 63.28%; América Mineiro (Auswärts): 13.24%; Unentschieden: 23.48%. Für América Mineiro (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 7.55. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 8.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +5.94%.

Wettanbieterquoten (48 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.02%EV -6.98%E -4.75%K -14.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV +5.94%E +0.742%K +0.848%G +0.050%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03%EV -2.55%E -0.615%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 15:25
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.98%EV -10.15%E -7.15%K -24.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +5.94%E +0.742%K +0.848%G +0.050%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -1.38%E -0.328%K -0.430%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 07:35
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.53%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.33%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.07%EV +2.63%E +0.339%K +0.389%G +0.010%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 13:50
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.685%E -0.091%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 13:49
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -0.685%E -0.091%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 13:10
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -9.52%E -6.65%K -22.13%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -0.685%E -0.091%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 13:45
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -0.685%E -0.091%K -0.105%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -0.685%E -0.091%K -0.105%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -0.685%E -0.091%K -0.105%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 13:40
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -0.685%E -0.091%K -0.105%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 13:39
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.31%EV -11.41%E -8.15%K -28.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -0.685%E -0.091%K -0.105%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 13:48
BetOnline.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.01%EV -7.62%E -5.22%K -16.56%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -2.01%E -0.272%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 13:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.01%EV -7.62%E -5.22%K -16.56%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -2.01%E -0.272%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 13:55
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.83%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.33%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.68%EV -3.33%E -0.457%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.49%EV -7.48%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 15:30
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.71%EV -4.00%E -0.551%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.25%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.88%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.78%EV -4.66%E -0.647%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.35%EV -7.48%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:25
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.31%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 13:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -7.31%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -1.38%E -0.328%K -0.430%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-17 06:45
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -7.31%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.42%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 13:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -11.41%E -8.15%K -28.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -7.31%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.07%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 13:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.16%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -10.62%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 13:40
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -10.62%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -15.47%E -4.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 14:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.51%EV -6.98%E -4.75%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.92%EV -12.60%E -1.91%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.42%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 14:45
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.32%EV -6.98%E -4.75%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.88%EV -12.60%E -1.91%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -9.59%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 14:40
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.32%EV -6.98%E -4.75%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.88%EV -12.60%E -1.91%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -9.59%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 14:40
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.72%E -0.908%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.72%E -0.908%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 10:20
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.72%E -0.908%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.72%E -0.908%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 10:20
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.72%E -0.908%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.72%E -0.908%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 10:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.72%E -0.908%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 10:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.22%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.42%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:39
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 15:08
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 15:09
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.94%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 13:14
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.14%EV -11.41%E -8.15%K -28.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -13.93%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-18 14:14
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.49%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -17.24%E -2.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.77%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 14:24
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.99%EV -6.98%E -4.75%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.94%EV -19.22%E -3.15%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -7.25%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.93%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -11.94%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 13:14
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.93%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -11.94%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 13:14
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.93%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -11.94%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.93%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -11.94%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 13:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.98%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.04%EV -8.42%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 10:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.98%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.04%EV -8.42%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 10:19
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -8.42%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 10:19
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.12%EV -9.52%E -6.65%K -22.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.07%EV -9.59%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-18 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.12%EV -9.52%E -6.65%K -22.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -20.55%E -3.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.07%EV -9.59%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-18 10:19
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.33%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.67%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.99%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%1.2%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.99%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%1.2%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.99%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%1.2%2026-09-18 15:10