赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Sport Recife v Nautico PE

开赛时间： 2026-05-30 23:30 UTC

最终结果： Sport Recife 2–0 Nautico PE

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

39 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sport Recife (主队)

预测 40.08%2.50公平赔率
EV -2.62%
优势 -1.08%
Kelly -1.83%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.43

博彩公司预测分布
38.25%40.13%40.14%42.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.262.282.4347.62%44.24%43.86%41.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

Nautico PE (客队)

预测 30.05%3.33公平赔率
EV -0.843%
优势 -0.255%
Kelly -0.366%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布
28.17%30.12%29.89%31.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.703.103.103.3037.04%32.22%32.26%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.88%3.35公平赔率
EV -2.90%
优势 -0.893%
Kelly -1.29%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.25

博彩公司预测分布
28.82%29.75%29.96%30.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.123.103.2534.72%32.03%32.26%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Sport Recife (主队)：40.08%；Nautico PE (客队)：30.05%；平局：29.88%。 对于“Nautico PE (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.33。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.30，期望值为-0.843%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (39 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.66%EV -2.62%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.12%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.21%EV -4.69%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.83%EV -5.42%E -2.30%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.83%EV -5.42%E -2.30%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 23:10
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -5.82%E -2.48%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.89%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 23:00
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.82%E -2.48%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.40%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 23:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -5.82%E -2.48%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -12.86%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 23:20
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -5.82%E -2.48%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -12.86%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.37%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.61%EV -6.22%E -2.66%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -7.45%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.29%EV -8.58%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 23:10
Bovada🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.56%EV -6.62%E -2.84%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.35%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 23:09
BetUS🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.56%EV -6.62%E -2.84%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.35%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 22:40
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 23:20
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 23:20
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 23:00
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.86%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 23:10
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.86%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 23:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.86%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 23:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.86%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 23:10
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -13.46%E -4.67%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.37%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 23:20
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -8.63%E -3.78%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 22:40
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -8.63%E -3.78%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 22:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.38%EV -9.03%E -3.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 22:40
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.83%E -4.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.37%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-30 23:20
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.96%EV -9.83%E -4.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -13.46%E -4.67%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.82%EV -6.79%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -9.83%E -4.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -18.87%E -6.99%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -13.96%E -4.85%K -7.42%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-30 23:20
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -0.843%E -0.255%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.90%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 22:56
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -0.843%E -0.255%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.90%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -0.843%E -0.255%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.90%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 23:00
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -0.843%E -0.255%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.90%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -0.843%E -0.255%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.90%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -0.843%E -0.255%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.90%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -0.843%E -0.255%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.90%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 23:00
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -0.843%E -0.255%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.90%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 22:59
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -13.44%E -6.22%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -2.35%E -0.722%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -4.40%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.77%EV -14.24%E -6.65%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -2.35%E -0.722%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.06%EV -5.89%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-30 23:00
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -15.04%E -7.09%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -5.89%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -15.84%E -7.54%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-30 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -15.84%E -7.54%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-30 23:00
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -15.84%E -7.54%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-30 23:00
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-05-30 23:20
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-05-30 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-05-30 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-05-30 23:20
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.21%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.21%1.9%2026-05-30 23:20