A Escola das Odds

Sport Recife v Nautico PE

Início: 2026-05-30 23:30 UTC

Final: Sport Recife 2–0 Nautico PE

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

39 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sport Recife (Local)

Previsão 40.08%2.50odd justa
EV -2.62%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -1.83%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.25%40.13%40.14%42.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.262.282.4347.62%44.24%43.86%41.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Nautico PE (Visitante)

Previsão 30.05%3.33odd justa
EV -0.843%
Vantagem -0.255%
Kelly -0.366%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.17%30.12%29.89%31.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.703.103.103.3037.04%32.22%32.26%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.88%3.35odd justa
EV -2.90%
Vantagem -0.893%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.82%29.75%29.96%30.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.123.103.2534.72%32.03%32.26%30.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (39 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 39.66%EV -2.62%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.12%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.21%EV -4.69%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 23:10
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.83%EV -5.42%E -2.30%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 23:10
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.83%EV -5.42%E -2.30%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 23:10
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -5.82%E -2.48%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.89%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 23:00
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.82%E -2.48%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.40%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 23:19
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -5.82%E -2.48%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -12.86%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 23:20
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -5.82%E -2.48%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -12.86%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.37%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 23:00
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.61%EV -6.22%E -2.66%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -7.45%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.29%EV -8.58%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 23:10
Bovada2.33I 42.92%NM 39.56%EV -6.62%E -2.84%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.35%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 23:09
BetUS2.33I 42.92%NM 39.56%EV -6.62%E -2.84%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.35%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 23:10
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 22:40
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 23:20
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 23:20
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 23:00
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.86%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 23:10
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.86%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 23:10
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.86%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 23:10
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.86%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 23:10
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -13.46%E -4.67%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.37%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 23:20
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -8.63%E -3.78%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 22:40
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -8.63%E -3.78%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 22:40
Codere (IT)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.38%EV -9.03%E -3.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 22:40
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.83%E -4.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.37%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-30 23:20
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 39.96%EV -9.83%E -4.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -13.46%E -4.67%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.82%EV -6.79%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -9.83%E -4.37%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -18.87%E -6.99%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -13.96%E -4.85%K -7.42%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-30 23:20
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -0.843%E -0.255%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.90%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 22:56
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -0.843%E -0.255%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.90%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 23:00
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -0.843%E -0.255%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.90%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 23:00
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -0.843%E -0.255%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.90%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 23:00
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -0.843%E -0.255%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.90%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 23:00
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -0.843%E -0.255%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.90%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 23:00
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -0.843%E -0.255%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.90%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 23:00
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -0.843%E -0.255%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.90%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 22:59
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -13.44%E -6.22%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -2.35%E -0.722%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -4.40%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.77%EV -14.24%E -6.65%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -2.35%E -0.722%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.06%EV -5.89%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-30 23:00
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -15.04%E -7.09%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -5.89%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 23:00
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -15.84%E -7.54%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-30 23:00
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -15.84%E -7.54%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-30 23:00
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -15.84%E -7.54%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-30 23:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-05-30 23:20
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-05-30 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-05-30 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-05-30 23:20
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.21%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.21%1.9%2026-05-30 23:20