La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Sport Recife v Nautico PE
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Sport Recife (Casa)
Previsione 40.08%2.50quota equa
EV -2.62%
Vantaggio -1.08%
Kelly -1.83%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.43
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.25%40.13%40.14%42.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.262.282.4347.62%44.24%43.86%41.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Nautico PE (Trasferta)
Previsione 30.05%3.33quota equa
EV -0.843%
Vantaggio -0.255%
Kelly -0.366%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.17%30.12%29.89%31.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.103.103.3037.04%32.22%32.26%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 29.88%3.35quota equa
EV -2.90%
Vantaggio -0.893%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.82%29.75%29.96%30.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.123.103.2534.72%32.03%32.26%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (39 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.66%EV -2.62%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.12%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.21%EV -4.69%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-30 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.83%EV -5.42%E -2.30%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.83%EV -5.42%E -2.30%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 23:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -5.82%E -2.48%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.89%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 23:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.82%E -2.48%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.40%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 23:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -5.82%E -2.48%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -12.86%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 23:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -5.82%E -2.48%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -12.86%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.37%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-30 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.61%EV -6.22%E -2.66%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -7.45%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.29%EV -8.58%E -2.80%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 23:10 |
| Bovada | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.56%EV -6.62%E -2.84%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.35%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-30 23:09 |
| BetUS | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.56%EV -6.62%E -2.84%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.35%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-30 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-30 22:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-30 23:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-30 23:20 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-30 23:00 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.86%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-30 23:10 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.86%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-30 23:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.86%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-30 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.86%E -4.44%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-30 23:10 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -13.46%E -4.67%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.37%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-30 23:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -8.63%E -3.78%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 22:40 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -8.63%E -3.78%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 22:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.38%EV -9.03%E -3.98%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-30 22:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.83%E -4.37%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.37%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-30 23:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.96%EV -9.83%E -4.37%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -13.46%E -4.67%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.82%EV -6.79%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-30 23:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -9.83%E -4.37%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -18.87%E -6.99%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -13.96%E -4.85%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-30 23:20 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -0.843%E -0.255%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.90%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 22:56 |
| Casumo | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -0.843%E -0.255%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.90%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -0.843%E -0.255%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.90%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 23:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -0.843%E -0.255%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.90%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -0.843%E -0.255%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.90%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -0.843%E -0.255%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.90%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 23:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -0.843%E -0.255%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.90%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 23:00 |
| betPARX | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -11.83%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -0.843%E -0.255%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.90%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 22:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -13.44%E -6.22%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -2.35%E -0.722%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -4.40%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.77%EV -14.24%E -6.65%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -2.35%E -0.722%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.06%EV -5.89%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-30 23:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -15.04%E -7.09%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -3.85%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -5.89%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-30 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -15.84%E -7.54%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-30 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -15.84%E -7.54%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-30 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -15.84%E -7.54%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-30 23:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 0.6% | 2026-05-30 23:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 0.6% | 2026-05-30 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 23:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.21% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.21% | 1.9% | 2026-05-30 23:20 |