La scuola delle quote

Sport Recife v Athletic Club (MG)

Inizio: 2026-06-11 00:00 UTC

Finale: Sport Recife 1–1 Athletic Club (MG)

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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43 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Sport Recife (Casa)

Previsione 48.35%2.07quota equa
EV -5.72%
Vantaggio -2.93%
Kelly -6.02%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.30%48.58%48.22%51.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.721.871.911.9558.14%53.55%52.36%51.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Athletic Club (MG) (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.85%4.58quota equa
EV +2.69%
Vantaggio +0.573%
Kelly +0.728%
Crescita +0.020%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.88%21.76%21.96%23.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.854.234.204.7025.97%23.64%23.81%21.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.80%3.36quota equa
EV +1.32%
Vantaggio +0.389%
Kelly +0.551%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.52%29.66%29.82%31.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.143.103.4034.48%31.88%32.26%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.97%EV -9.59%E -5.13%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +2.69%E +0.573%K +0.728%G +0.020%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-10 23:39
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.44%EV -6.20%E -3.20%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.67%EV +1.38%E +0.298%K +0.380%G +0.005%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.88%EV -4.34%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 23:40
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.89%EV -10.07%E -5.41%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV +0.509%E +0.111%K +0.141%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-10 23:40
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -12.49%E -6.90%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -1.68%E -0.372%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV +1.32%E +0.389%K +0.551%G +0.007%6.9%2026-06-10 23:50
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -12.49%E -6.90%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -1.68%E -0.372%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV +1.32%E +0.389%K +0.551%G +0.007%6.9%2026-06-10 23:50
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -12.49%E -6.90%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -1.68%E -0.372%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV +1.32%E +0.389%K +0.551%G +0.007%6.9%2026-06-10 23:50
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -12.49%E -6.90%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -1.68%E -0.372%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV +1.32%E +0.389%K +0.551%G +0.007%6.9%2026-06-10 23:50
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -12.49%E -6.90%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -1.68%E -0.372%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV +1.32%E +0.389%K +0.551%G +0.007%6.9%2026-06-10 23:50
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -12.49%E -6.90%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -1.68%E -0.372%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV +1.32%E +0.389%K +0.551%G +0.007%6.9%2026-06-10 23:50
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -12.49%E -6.90%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -1.68%E -0.372%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV +1.32%E +0.389%K +0.551%G +0.007%6.9%2026-06-10 23:50
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -11.52%E -6.30%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -1.68%E -0.372%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-10 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.52%EV -6.69%E -3.46%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.86%E -0.877%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-10 23:50
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.52%EV -6.69%E -3.46%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.86%E -0.877%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-10 23:50
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 48.52%EV -6.69%E -3.46%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.86%E -0.877%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-10 23:50
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -12.97%E -7.21%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -3.86%E -0.877%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-10 23:50
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -5.39%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-10 23:50
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.25%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -6.05%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -6.13%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-10 23:50
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 47.80%EV -6.69%E -3.46%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.05%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-10 23:49
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 51.19%EV -13.94%E -7.83%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%EV -6.05%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -1.66%E -0.502%K -0.721%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-10 23:39
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 51.06%EV -15.39%E -8.79%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.02%EV -7.14%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-10 23:50
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.23%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-10 23:50
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 51.07%EV -15.87%E -9.12%K -21.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -8.23%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.77%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-10 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.07%EV -15.87%E -9.12%K -21.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -8.23%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.77%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-10 23:50
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.17%E -3.73%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -9.32%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-10 23:50
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.17%E -3.73%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -9.32%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-10 23:50
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -10.42%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-10 23:49
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.54%EV -6.69%E -3.46%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -10.42%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-10 23:50
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -16.84%E -9.79%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.42%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -6.13%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-10 23:50
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -16.84%E -9.79%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.42%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -6.13%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-10 23:50
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -16.84%E -9.79%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.42%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -6.13%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-10 23:50
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-10 23:50
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -9.59%E -5.13%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-10 23:50
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-10 23:49
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-10 23:50
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-10 23:50
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-10 23:50
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-10 23:50
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -11.52%E -6.30%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-10 23:50
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-10 23:50
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-10 23:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-10 23:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-10 23:50
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -15.88%E -4.12%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.14%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-10 23:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%1.1%2026-06-10 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%1.1%2026-06-10 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%1.1%2026-06-10 23:50
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.95%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30%1.6%2026-06-10 23:50
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.28%1.6%2026-06-10 23:50