مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sport Recife v Athletic Club (MG)

البداية: 2026-06-11 00:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Sport Recife 1–1 Athletic Club (MG)

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

43 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sport Recife (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.35%2.07السعر العادل
EV -5.72%
الأفضلية -2.93%
Kelly -6.02%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.30%48.58%48.22%51.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.721.871.911.9558.14%53.55%52.36%51.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Athletic Club (MG) (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.85%4.58السعر العادل
EV +2.69%
الأفضلية +0.573%
Kelly +0.728%
النمو +0.020%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.88%21.76%21.96%23.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.854.234.204.7025.97%23.64%23.81%21.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.80%3.36السعر العادل
EV +1.32%
الأفضلية +0.389%
Kelly +0.551%
النمو +0.007%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.52%29.66%29.82%31.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.143.103.4034.48%31.88%32.26%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (43 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.97%EV -9.59%E -5.13%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +2.69%E +0.573%K +0.728%G +0.020%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-10 23:39
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.44%EV -6.20%E -3.20%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.67%EV +1.38%E +0.298%K +0.380%G +0.005%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.88%EV -4.34%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 23:40
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.89%EV -10.07%E -5.41%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV +0.509%E +0.111%K +0.141%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-10 23:40
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -12.49%E -6.90%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -1.68%E -0.372%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV +1.32%E +0.389%K +0.551%G +0.007%6.9%2026-06-10 23:50
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -12.49%E -6.90%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -1.68%E -0.372%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV +1.32%E +0.389%K +0.551%G +0.007%6.9%2026-06-10 23:50
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -12.49%E -6.90%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -1.68%E -0.372%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV +1.32%E +0.389%K +0.551%G +0.007%6.9%2026-06-10 23:50
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -12.49%E -6.90%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -1.68%E -0.372%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV +1.32%E +0.389%K +0.551%G +0.007%6.9%2026-06-10 23:50
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -12.49%E -6.90%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -1.68%E -0.372%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV +1.32%E +0.389%K +0.551%G +0.007%6.9%2026-06-10 23:50
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -12.49%E -6.90%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -1.68%E -0.372%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV +1.32%E +0.389%K +0.551%G +0.007%6.9%2026-06-10 23:50
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -12.49%E -6.90%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -1.68%E -0.372%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV +1.32%E +0.389%K +0.551%G +0.007%6.9%2026-06-10 23:50
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -11.52%E -6.30%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -1.68%E -0.372%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-10 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.52%EV -6.69%E -3.46%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.86%E -0.877%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-10 23:50
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.52%EV -6.69%E -3.46%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.86%E -0.877%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-10 23:50
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 48.52%EV -6.69%E -3.46%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.86%E -0.877%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-10 23:50
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -12.97%E -7.21%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -3.86%E -0.877%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-10 23:50
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -5.39%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-10 23:50
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.25%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -6.05%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -6.13%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-10 23:50
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 47.80%EV -6.69%E -3.46%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.05%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-10 23:49
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 51.19%EV -13.94%E -7.83%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%EV -6.05%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -1.66%E -0.502%K -0.721%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-10 23:39
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 51.06%EV -15.39%E -8.79%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.02%EV -7.14%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-10 23:50
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.23%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-10 23:50
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 51.07%EV -15.87%E -9.12%K -21.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -8.23%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.77%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-10 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.07%EV -15.87%E -9.12%K -21.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -8.23%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.77%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-10 23:50
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.17%E -3.73%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -9.32%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-10 23:50
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.17%E -3.73%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -9.32%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-10 23:50
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -10.42%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-10 23:49
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.54%EV -6.69%E -3.46%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -10.42%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-10 23:50
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -16.84%E -9.79%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.42%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -6.13%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-10 23:50
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -16.84%E -9.79%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.42%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -6.13%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-10 23:50
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -16.84%E -9.79%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.42%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -6.13%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-10 23:50
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-10 23:50
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -9.59%E -5.13%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-10 23:50
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-10 23:49
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-10 23:50
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-10 23:50
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-10 23:50
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-10 23:50
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -11.52%E -6.30%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-10 23:50
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-10 23:50
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-10 23:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-10 23:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-10 23:50
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -15.88%E -4.12%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.14%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-10 23:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%1.1%2026-06-10 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%1.1%2026-06-10 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%1.1%2026-06-10 23:50
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.95%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30%1.6%2026-06-10 23:50
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.28%1.6%2026-06-10 23:50