La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Sport Recife v Athletic Club (MG)
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sport Recife (Local)
Predicción 48.35%2.07momio equitativo
EV -5.72%
Ventaja -2.93%
Kelly -6.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.30%48.58%48.22%51.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.871.911.9558.14%53.55%52.36%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Athletic Club (MG) (Visitante)
Predicción 21.85%4.58momio equitativo
EV +2.69%
Ventaja +0.573%
Kelly +0.728%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.88%21.76%21.96%23.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.854.234.204.7025.97%23.64%23.81%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.80%3.36momio equitativo
EV +1.32%
Ventaja +0.389%
Kelly +0.551%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.52%29.66%29.82%31.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.143.103.4034.48%31.88%32.26%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.97%EV -9.59%E -5.13%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +2.69%E +0.573%K +0.728%G +0.020% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-10 23:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.44%EV -6.20%E -3.20%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.67%EV +1.38%E +0.298%K +0.380%G +0.005% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.88%EV -4.34%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-10 23:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.89%EV -10.07%E -5.41%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV +0.509%E +0.111%K +0.141%G +0.001% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-10 23:40 |
| Casumo | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -12.49%E -6.90%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -1.68%E -0.372%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV +1.32%E +0.389%K +0.551%G +0.007% | 6.9% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| Unibet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -12.49%E -6.90%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -1.68%E -0.372%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV +1.32%E +0.389%K +0.551%G +0.007% | 6.9% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -12.49%E -6.90%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -1.68%E -0.372%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV +1.32%E +0.389%K +0.551%G +0.007% | 6.9% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -12.49%E -6.90%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -1.68%E -0.372%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV +1.32%E +0.389%K +0.551%G +0.007% | 6.9% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -12.49%E -6.90%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -1.68%E -0.372%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV +1.32%E +0.389%K +0.551%G +0.007% | 6.9% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -12.49%E -6.90%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -1.68%E -0.372%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV +1.32%E +0.389%K +0.551%G +0.007% | 6.9% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| betPARX | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -12.49%E -6.90%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -1.68%E -0.372%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV +1.32%E +0.389%K +0.551%G +0.007% | 6.9% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -11.52%E -6.30%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -1.68%E -0.372%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-10 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.52%EV -6.69%E -3.46%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.86%E -0.877%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.52%EV -6.69%E -3.46%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.86%E -0.877%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| BetUS | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.52%EV -6.69%E -3.46%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.86%E -0.877%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -12.97%E -7.21%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -3.86%E -0.877%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -5.39%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.25%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -6.05%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -6.13%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| Bovada | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.80%EV -6.69%E -3.46%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -6.05%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-10 23:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.19%EV -13.94%E -7.83%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%EV -6.05%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -1.66%E -0.502%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-10 23:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.06%EV -15.39%E -8.79%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.02%EV -7.14%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.23%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.07%EV -15.87%E -9.12%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -8.23%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.77%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.07%EV -15.87%E -9.12%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -8.23%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.77%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.17%E -3.73%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -9.32%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.17%E -3.73%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -9.32%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -10.42%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-10 23:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.54%EV -6.69%E -3.46%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -10.42%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -16.84%E -9.79%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.42%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -6.13%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -16.84%E -9.79%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.42%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -6.13%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -16.84%E -9.79%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.42%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -6.13%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -9.59%E -5.13%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-10 23:49 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -11.52%E -6.30%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -15.88%E -4.12%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.14%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43% | 1.1% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.75% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.95% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30% | 1.6% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.28% | 1.6% | 2026-06-10 23:50 |