Language:English
Sport Recife v América Mineiro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sport Recife (Local)
Prediction 57.41%1.74fair odd
EV -5.27%
Edge -3.20%
Kelly -8.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.39%57.41%57.45%59.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.601.611.6565.79%62.48%62.11%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
América Mineiro (Visit)
Prediction 17.20%5.81fair odd
EV -0.423%
Edge -0.073%
Kelly -0.088%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.33%17.19%17.10%18.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.265.305.7920.83%19.00%18.87%17.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.39%3.94fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -0.924%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.35%25.40%25.45%26.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.613.603.8029.41%27.70%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sport Recife (Local): 57.41%; América Mineiro (Visit): 17.20%; Draw: 25.39%. For América Mineiro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.79, with an expected value of -0.423%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.05%EV -5.27%E -3.20%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.79I 17.27%NM 16.54%EV -0.423%E -0.073%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.41%EV -4.27%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-24 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -6.42%E -3.94%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -3.69%E -0.659%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -7.32%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -6.42%E -3.94%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -3.69%E -0.659%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -7.32%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -6.42%E -3.94%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -3.69%E -0.659%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -7.32%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.39%EV -6.42%E -3.94%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -13.67%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-24 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-24 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-24 21:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -7.13%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -7.13%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -7.13%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.66%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -1.97%E -0.346%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-24 22:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.71%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-24 22:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-24 21:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-24 22:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.75%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -8.85%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.86%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-24 22:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.75%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -8.85%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.86%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-24 22:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -8.85%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.51%E -0.924%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -8.85%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.51%E -0.924%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -8.85%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.51%E -0.924%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -8.85%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.51%E -0.924%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.81%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.33%EV -1.97%E -0.346%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-24 22:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.71%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-24 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.55%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.00%EV -6.27%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.45%EV -7.57%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-24 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-24 21:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-24 21:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-24 21:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.02%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -9.71%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-24 21:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.92%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -10.57%E -2.03%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-24 22:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-24 21:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-24 22:18 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -12.29%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-24 21:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -17.45%E -3.64%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-24 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -17.45%E -3.64%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-24 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -17.45%E -3.64%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-24 21:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -17.45%E -3.64%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-24 21:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -13.67%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-24 21:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.18%EV -8.72%E -5.48%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-24 21:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -9.87%E -6.28%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-24 21:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -9.87%E -6.28%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -9.71%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-24 22:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.87%E -6.28%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.87%E -6.28%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-24 22:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.87%E -6.28%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-24 22:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.30%EV -10.44%E -6.69%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.10%EV -10.44%E -6.69%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -9.86%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.24%EV -11.01%E -7.11%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -15.73%E -3.21%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -11.59%E -7.52%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.92%EV -15.73%E -3.21%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -11.59%E -7.52%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.92%EV -15.73%E -3.21%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.27%EV -12.74%E -8.38%K -24.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27% | 0.2% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.40% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.92% | 0.2% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.14% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.6% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.59% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41% | 1.0% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.74% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.31% | 1.3% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |