Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sport Recife v América Mineiro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-24 22:30 UTC

Score final : Sport Recife 3–0 América Mineiro

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sport Recife (Local)

Prévision 57.41%1.74cote équitable
EV -5.27%
Avantage -3.20%
Kelly -8.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.39%57.41%57.45%59.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.521.601.611.6565.79%62.48%62.11%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

América Mineiro (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.20%5.81cote équitable
EV -0.423%
Avantage -0.073%
Kelly -0.088%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.33%17.19%17.10%18.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.805.265.305.7920.83%19.00%18.87%17.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.39%3.94cote équitable
EV -3.51%
Avantage -0.924%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.35%25.40%25.45%26.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.613.603.8029.41%27.70%27.78%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sport Recife (Local) : 57.41% ; América Mineiro (Visiteur) : 17.20% ; Match nul : 25.39%. Pour América Mineiro (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.81. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 5.79, pour une espérance de -0.423% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.05%EV -5.27%E -3.20%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.54%EV -0.423%E -0.073%K -0.088%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.41%EV -4.27%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-24 22:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -6.42%E -3.94%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -3.69%E -0.659%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -7.32%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 22:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -6.42%E -3.94%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -3.69%E -0.659%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -7.32%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 22:24
BetUS🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -6.42%E -3.94%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -3.69%E -0.659%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -7.32%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 22:24
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.39%EV -6.42%E -3.94%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -13.67%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-24 21:55
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 21:55
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 21:54
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -7.13%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-24 22:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -7.13%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-24 22:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -7.13%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-24 22:24
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.66%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -1.97%E -0.346%K -0.419%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 22:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.71%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 22:09
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-24 21:54
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 22:09
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.75%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -8.85%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.86%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 22:09
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.75%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -8.85%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.86%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 22:09
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -8.85%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.51%E -0.924%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 22:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -8.85%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.51%E -0.924%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 22:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -8.85%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.51%E -0.924%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 22:24
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -8.85%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.51%E -0.924%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 22:24
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.81%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.33%EV -1.97%E -0.346%K -0.419%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-24 22:14
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.71%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.55%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.00%EV -6.27%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.45%EV -7.57%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 22:00
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 21:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 21:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 21:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.02%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -9.71%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 21:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.92%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -10.57%E -2.03%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 22:09
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-24 21:54
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-24 22:18
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -12.29%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-24 21:49
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -17.45%E -3.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-24 21:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -17.45%E -3.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-24 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -17.45%E -3.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-24 21:54
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -17.45%E -3.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-24 21:54
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -13.67%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-24 21:59
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.18%EV -8.72%E -5.48%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-24 21:54
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -9.87%E -6.28%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 21:54
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -9.87%E -6.28%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -9.71%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-24 22:23
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.87%E -6.28%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-24 22:24
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.87%E -6.28%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-24 22:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.87%E -6.28%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-24 22:19
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.30%EV -10.44%E -6.69%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-24 22:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.10%EV -10.44%E -6.69%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -9.86%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-24 22:24
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.24%EV -11.01%E -7.11%K -20.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -15.73%E -3.21%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-24 22:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -11.59%E -7.52%K -21.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.92%EV -15.73%E -3.21%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-24 22:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -11.59%E -7.52%K -21.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.92%EV -15.73%E -3.21%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-24 22:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.27%EV -12.74%E -8.38%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 22:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27%0.2%2026-08-24 22:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.40%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.92%0.2%2026-08-24 22:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.14%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-08-24 22:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.59%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-08-24 22:24
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.74%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.31%1.3%2026-08-24 22:24