Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sport Recife v América Mineiro

Início: 2026-08-24 22:30 UTC

Final: Sport Recife 3–0 América Mineiro

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sport Recife (Local)

Previsão 57.41%1.74odd justa
EV -5.27%
Vantagem -3.20%
Kelly -8.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.39%57.41%57.45%59.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.521.601.611.6565.79%62.48%62.11%60.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

América Mineiro (Visitante)

Previsão 17.20%5.81odd justa
EV -0.423%
Vantagem -0.073%
Kelly -0.088%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.33%17.19%17.10%18.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.805.265.305.7920.83%19.00%18.87%17.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.39%3.94odd justa
EV -3.51%
Vantagem -0.924%
Kelly -1.25%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.35%25.40%25.45%26.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.613.603.8029.41%27.70%27.78%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sport Recife (Local): 57.41%; América Mineiro (Visitante): 17.20%; Empate: 25.39%. Para América Mineiro (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.81. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 5.79, com valor esperado de -0.423%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.05%EV -5.27%E -3.20%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.54%EV -0.423%E -0.073%K -0.088%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.41%EV -4.27%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-24 22:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -6.42%E -3.94%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -3.69%E -0.659%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -7.32%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 22:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -6.42%E -3.94%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -3.69%E -0.659%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -7.32%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 22:24
BetUS🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -6.42%E -3.94%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -3.69%E -0.659%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -7.32%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 22:24
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.39%EV -6.42%E -3.94%K -10.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -13.67%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-24 21:55
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 21:55
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 21:54
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -7.13%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-24 22:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -7.13%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-24 22:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -7.13%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-24 22:24
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.66%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -1.97%E -0.346%K -0.419%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 22:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.71%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 22:09
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-24 21:54
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 22:09
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.75%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -8.85%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.86%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 22:09
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.75%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -8.85%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.86%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 22:09
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -8.85%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.51%E -0.924%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 22:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -8.85%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.51%E -0.924%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 22:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -8.85%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.51%E -0.924%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 22:24
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -8.85%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.51%E -0.924%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 22:24
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.81%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.33%EV -1.97%E -0.346%K -0.419%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-24 22:14
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.71%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.55%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.00%EV -6.27%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.45%EV -7.57%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 22:00
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 21:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 21:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 21:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.02%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -9.71%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 21:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.92%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -10.57%E -2.03%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 22:09
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-24 21:54
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-24 22:18
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -12.29%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-24 21:49
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -17.45%E -3.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-24 21:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -17.45%E -3.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-24 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -17.45%E -3.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-24 21:54
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -17.45%E -3.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-24 21:54
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.14%E -5.09%K -13.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -13.67%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-24 21:59
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.18%EV -8.72%E -5.48%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-24 21:54
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -9.87%E -6.28%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 21:54
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -9.87%E -6.28%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -9.71%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-24 22:23
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.87%E -6.28%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-24 22:24
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.87%E -6.28%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-24 22:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.87%E -6.28%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-24 22:19
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.30%EV -10.44%E -6.69%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-24 22:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.10%EV -10.44%E -6.69%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.01%E -2.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -9.86%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-24 22:24
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.24%EV -11.01%E -7.11%K -20.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -15.73%E -3.21%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-24 22:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -11.59%E -7.52%K -21.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.92%EV -15.73%E -3.21%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-24 22:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -11.59%E -7.52%K -21.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.92%EV -15.73%E -3.21%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-24 22:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.27%EV -12.74%E -8.38%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -5.41%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 22:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27%0.2%2026-08-24 22:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.40%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.92%0.2%2026-08-24 22:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.14%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-08-24 22:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.59%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-08-24 22:24
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.74%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.31%1.3%2026-08-24 22:24