A Escola das Odds

São Bernardo v Sport Recife

Início: 2026-06-14 14:00 UTC

Final: São Bernardo 0–0 Sport Recife

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

São Bernardo (Local)

Previsão 38.74%2.58odd justa
EV -1.21%
Vantagem -0.476%
Kelly -0.783%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.67%38.66%38.83%40.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.422.402.5544.44%41.32%41.67%39.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sport Recife (Visitante)

Previsão 31.09%3.22odd justa
EV -0.186%
Vantagem -0.058%
Kelly -0.084%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.17%31.18%31.01%34.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.552.872.903.2139.22%34.81%34.48%31.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.17%3.32odd justa
EV -3.47%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -1.58%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.77%30.16%30.16%32.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.633.053.053.2038.02%32.79%32.79%31.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -1.21%E -0.476%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -14.49%E -5.27%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 13:50
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -1.21%E -0.476%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -14.49%E -5.27%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 13:50
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -1.21%E -0.476%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -14.49%E -5.27%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 13:50
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -1.21%E -0.476%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -14.49%E -5.27%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 13:50
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -1.21%E -0.476%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -14.49%E -5.27%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 13:50
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -1.21%E -0.476%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -14.49%E -5.27%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 13:50
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -1.21%E -0.476%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -14.49%E -5.27%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 13:50
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -3.93%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -16.04%E -5.94%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 13:20
BetOnline.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -4.70%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.16%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-14 13:10
LowVig.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -4.70%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.16%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-14 13:10
BetUS2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -4.70%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.16%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-14 13:10
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.28%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.98%EV -0.186%E -0.058%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.74%EV -5.58%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 13:50
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 11:10
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.52%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-14 13:20
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.52%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-14 13:20
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.52%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-14 13:20
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.52%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-14 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 36.76%EV -5.86%E -2.41%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -18.22%E -6.93%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-14 13:50
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 36.76%EV -5.86%E -2.41%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -18.22%E -6.93%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-14 13:50
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.16%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-14 13:40
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.47%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -8.30%E -2.73%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 13:40
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-12 17:40
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.94%E -4.62%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-12 17:29
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -11.38%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-14 11:10
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.06%EV -19.15%E -7.37%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-14 13:50
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -5.47%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -8.30%E -2.73%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 13:39
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.77%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -7.34%E -2.46%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-12 17:40
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.77%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -7.34%E -2.46%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-12 17:40
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -14.49%E -5.27%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-12 17:29
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 36.67%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -20.71%E -8.12%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.6%2026-06-14 13:50
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 36.67%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -20.71%E -8.12%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.6%2026-06-14 13:50
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 36.67%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -20.71%E -8.12%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.6%2026-06-14 13:50
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 39.15%EV -8.19%E -3.45%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Codere (IT)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.75%EV -8.19%E -3.45%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 02:10
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-14 13:30
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -5.16%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 13:49
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-14 13:40
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.52%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -10.45%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -20.66%E -7.86%K -12.68%G +0.000%16.2%2026-06-14 13:30
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -12.84%E -5.70%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.01%E -3.73%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-14 13:30
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -12.84%E -5.70%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -10.45%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-12 17:38
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%0.8%2026-06-14 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-06-14 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-06-14 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-06-14 13:50
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.58%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.58%2.2%2026-06-14 13:50