L’École des cotesFrançais
São Bernardo v Sport Recife
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
São Bernardo (Local)
Prévision 38.74%2.58cote équitable
EV -1.21%
Avantage -0.476%
Kelly -0.783%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.67%38.66%38.83%40.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.422.402.5544.44%41.32%41.67%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Sport Recife (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.09%3.22cote équitable
EV -0.186%
Avantage -0.058%
Kelly -0.084%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.21
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.17%31.18%31.01%34.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.872.903.2139.22%34.81%34.48%31.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.17%3.32cote équitable
EV -3.47%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.58%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.77%30.16%30.16%32.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.633.053.053.2038.02%32.79%32.79%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -1.21%E -0.476%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -14.49%E -5.27%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -1.21%E -0.476%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -14.49%E -5.27%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -1.21%E -0.476%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -14.49%E -5.27%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -1.21%E -0.476%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -14.49%E -5.27%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| betPARX | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -1.21%E -0.476%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -14.49%E -5.27%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -1.21%E -0.476%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -14.49%E -5.27%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -1.21%E -0.476%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -14.49%E -5.27%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -3.93%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -16.04%E -5.94%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-14 13:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -4.70%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.16%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-14 13:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -4.70%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.16%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-14 13:10 |
| BetUS | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -4.70%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.16%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-14 13:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.28%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.98%EV -0.186%E -0.058%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.74%EV -5.58%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-14 11:10 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.52%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-14 13:20 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.52%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-14 13:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.52%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-14 13:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.52%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-14 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.76%EV -5.86%E -2.41%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -18.22%E -6.93%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.76%EV -5.86%E -2.41%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -18.22%E -6.93%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.16%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.47%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -8.30%E -2.73%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-12 17:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.94%E -4.62%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-12 17:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -11.38%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-14 11:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.06%EV -19.15%E -7.37%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -5.47%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -8.30%E -2.73%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-14 13:39 |
| NordicBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.77%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -7.34%E -2.46%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-12 17:40 |
| Betsson | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.77%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -7.34%E -2.46%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-12 17:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -14.49%E -5.27%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-12 17:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.67%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -20.71%E -8.12%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.67%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -20.71%E -8.12%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.67%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -20.71%E -8.12%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.15%EV -8.19%E -3.45%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.75%EV -8.19%E -3.45%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-14 02:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -5.16%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-14 13:49 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-14 13:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.52%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -10.45%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -20.66%E -7.86%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -12.84%E -5.70%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.01%E -3.73%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -12.84%E -5.70%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -10.45%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-12 17:38 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01% | 0.8% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.58% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.58% | 2.2% | 2026-06-14 13:50 |