مدرسة الاحتمالات

São Bernardo v Sport Recife

البداية: 2026-06-14 14:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: São Bernardo 0–0 Sport Recife

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

41 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

São Bernardo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 38.74%2.58السعر العادل
EV -1.21%
الأفضلية -0.476%
Kelly -0.783%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.67%38.66%38.83%40.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.422.402.5544.44%41.32%41.67%39.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sport Recife (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.09%3.22السعر العادل
EV -0.186%
الأفضلية -0.058%
Kelly -0.084%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.21

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.17%31.18%31.01%34.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.552.872.903.2139.22%34.81%34.48%31.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.17%3.32السعر العادل
EV -3.47%
الأفضلية -1.08%
Kelly -1.58%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.77%30.16%30.16%32.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.633.053.053.2038.02%32.79%32.79%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (41 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -1.21%E -0.476%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -14.49%E -5.27%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 13:50
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -1.21%E -0.476%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -14.49%E -5.27%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 13:50
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -1.21%E -0.476%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -14.49%E -5.27%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 13:50
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -1.21%E -0.476%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -14.49%E -5.27%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 13:50
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -1.21%E -0.476%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -14.49%E -5.27%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 13:50
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -1.21%E -0.476%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -14.49%E -5.27%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 13:50
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -1.21%E -0.476%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -14.49%E -5.27%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 13:50
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -3.93%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -16.04%E -5.94%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 13:20
BetOnline.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -4.70%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.16%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-14 13:10
LowVig.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -4.70%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.16%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-14 13:10
BetUS2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -4.70%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.16%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-14 13:10
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.28%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.98%EV -0.186%E -0.058%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.74%EV -5.58%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 13:50
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 11:10
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.52%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-14 13:20
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.52%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-14 13:20
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.52%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-14 13:20
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.52%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-14 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 36.76%EV -5.86%E -2.41%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -18.22%E -6.93%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-14 13:50
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 36.76%EV -5.86%E -2.41%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -18.22%E -6.93%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-14 13:50
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.16%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-14 13:40
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.47%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -8.30%E -2.73%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 13:40
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-12 17:40
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.94%E -4.62%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-12 17:29
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -11.38%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-14 11:10
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.06%EV -19.15%E -7.37%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-14 13:50
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -5.47%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -8.30%E -2.73%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 13:39
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.77%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -7.34%E -2.46%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-12 17:40
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.77%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -7.34%E -2.46%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-12 17:40
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -14.49%E -5.27%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-12 17:29
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 36.67%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -20.71%E -8.12%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.6%2026-06-14 13:50
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 36.67%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -20.71%E -8.12%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.6%2026-06-14 13:50
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 36.67%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -20.71%E -8.12%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.6%2026-06-14 13:50
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 39.15%EV -8.19%E -3.45%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 13:30
Codere (IT)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.75%EV -8.19%E -3.45%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -8.27%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 02:10
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-14 13:30
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -5.16%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 13:49
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.83%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-14 13:40
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -6.72%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.52%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -10.45%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -20.66%E -7.86%K -12.68%G +0.000%16.2%2026-06-14 13:30
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -12.84%E -5.70%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -3.61%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.01%E -3.73%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-14 13:30
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -12.84%E -5.70%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -10.45%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-12 17:38
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%0.8%2026-06-14 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-06-14 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-06-14 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-06-14 13:50
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.58%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.58%2.2%2026-06-14 13:50