La scuola delle quoteItaliano
São Bernardo v Grêmio Novorizontino
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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São Bernardo (Casa)
Previsione 35.25%2.84quota equa
EV -1.30%
Vantaggio -0.465%
Kelly -0.723%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.44%35.35%35.26%38.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.662.652.8042.55%37.62%37.74%35.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Grêmio Novorizontino (Trasferta)
Previsione 32.81%3.05quota equa
EV -4.20%
Vantaggio -1.44%
Kelly -2.19%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.92
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.08%32.81%32.79%34.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.782.802.9238.46%36.03%35.71%34.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 31.94%3.13quota equa
EV -2.89%
Vantaggio -0.952%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.04
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.56%31.84%31.95%32.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.872.883.0437.04%34.79%34.72%32.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -1.30%E -0.465%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -1.30%E -0.465%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -1.30%E -0.465%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -1.30%E -0.465%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -1.30%E -0.465%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -1.30%E -0.465%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| betPARX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -1.30%E -0.465%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.30%E -0.465%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.01%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 13:46 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -3.06%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -11.42%E -4.23%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.96%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.30%EV -3.77%E -1.38%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.00%EV -4.20%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.70%EV -2.89%E -0.952%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.91%EV -6.17%E -2.16%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -6.73%E -2.30%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.91%EV -6.17%E -2.16%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -6.73%E -2.30%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| BetUS | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.91%EV -6.17%E -2.16%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -6.73%E -2.30%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -11.42%E -4.23%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.96%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -11.42%E -4.23%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.71%EV -5.18%E -1.93%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.65%EV -6.17%E -2.16%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.65%EV -8.64%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.59%E -2.49%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.77%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.59%E -2.49%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -4.17%E -1.39%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 13:58 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.59%E -2.49%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%EV -8.01%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -6.59%E -2.49%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.86%EV -7.48%E -2.65%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -8.01%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.94%EV -6.59%E -2.49%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.94%EV -13.06%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.12%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.94%EV -6.59%E -2.49%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.94%EV -13.06%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.12%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.94%EV -6.59%E -2.49%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.94%EV -13.06%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.12%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.41%EV -5.84%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -7.48%E -2.65%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.01%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Betsson | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -7.48%E -2.65%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.01%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Bovada | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.35%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.77%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -8.35%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -8.96%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -8.35%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.28%EV -14.04%E -5.36%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -8.01%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -10.11%E -3.97%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -10.11%E -3.97%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -8.96%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.01%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -14.70%E -5.65%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -13.76%E -5.09%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -17.16%E -7.30%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -4.86%E -1.67%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -5.77%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.94% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.06% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.79% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.39% | 1.2% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.85% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.18% | 1.8% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.53% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.65% | 2.0% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |