L’École des cotesSão Bernardo v Grêmio Novorizontino
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
São Bernardo (Local)
Prévision 35.25%2.84cote équitable
EV -1.30%
Avantage -0.465%
Kelly -0.723%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.44%35.35%35.26%38.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.662.652.8042.55%37.62%37.74%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Grêmio Novorizontino (Visiteur)
Prévision 32.81%3.05cote équitable
EV -4.20%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -2.19%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.92
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.08%32.81%32.79%34.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.782.802.9238.46%36.03%35.71%34.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.94%3.13cote équitable
EV -2.89%
Avantage -0.952%
Kelly -1.42%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.04
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.56%31.84%31.95%32.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.872.883.0437.04%34.79%34.72%32.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -1.30%E -0.465%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -1.30%E -0.465%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -1.30%E -0.465%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -1.30%E -0.465%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -1.30%E -0.465%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -1.30%E -0.465%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| betPARX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -1.30%E -0.465%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.30%E -0.465%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.01%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 13:46 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -3.06%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -11.42%E -4.23%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.96%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.30%EV -3.77%E -1.38%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.00%EV -4.20%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.70%EV -2.89%E -0.952%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.91%EV -6.17%E -2.16%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -6.73%E -2.30%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.91%EV -6.17%E -2.16%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -6.73%E -2.30%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| BetUS | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.91%EV -6.17%E -2.16%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -6.73%E -2.30%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -11.42%E -4.23%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.96%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -11.42%E -4.23%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.71%EV -5.18%E -1.93%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.65%EV -6.17%E -2.16%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.65%EV -8.64%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.59%E -2.49%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.77%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.59%E -2.49%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -4.17%E -1.39%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 13:58 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.59%E -2.49%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%EV -8.01%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -6.59%E -2.49%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.86%EV -7.48%E -2.65%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -8.01%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.94%EV -6.59%E -2.49%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.94%EV -13.06%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.12%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.94%EV -6.59%E -2.49%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.94%EV -13.06%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.12%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.94%EV -6.59%E -2.49%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.94%EV -13.06%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.12%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.41%EV -5.84%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -7.48%E -2.65%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.01%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Betsson | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -7.48%E -2.65%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.01%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Bovada | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.35%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.77%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -8.35%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -8.96%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -8.35%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.28%EV -14.04%E -5.36%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -8.01%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -10.11%E -3.97%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -10.11%E -3.97%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -8.96%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.01%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -14.70%E -5.65%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -13.76%E -5.09%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -17.16%E -7.30%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -4.86%E -1.67%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -5.77%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.94% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.06% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.79% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.39% | 1.2% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.85% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.18% | 1.8% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.53% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.65% | 2.0% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |