赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

São Bernardo v Ceará

开赛时间： 2026-07-26 19:00 UTC

最终结果： São Bernardo 3–4 Ceará

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

42 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

São Bernardo (主队)

预测 41.49%2.41公平赔率
EV -2.50%
优势 -1.06%
Kelly -1.85%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.35

博彩公司预测分布
38.72%41.44%41.50%43.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.212.212.3548.78%45.21%45.25%42.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

Ceará (客队)

预测 26.44%3.78公平赔率
EV -1.12%
优势 -0.300%
Kelly -0.410%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.74

博彩公司预测分布
24.37%26.56%26.36%29.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.473.503.7432.26%28.79%28.57%26.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 32.07%3.12公平赔率
EV -4.10%
优势 -1.37%
Kelly -2.06%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.99

博彩公司预测分布
31.00%32.00%32.14%33.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.872.882.9936.36%34.81%34.72%33.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：São Bernardo (主队)：41.49%；Ceará (客队)：26.44%；平局：32.07%。 对于“Ceará (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.78。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.74，期望值为-1.12%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (42 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -18.04%E -5.82%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 18:40
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.45%EV -4.16%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.81%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -11.16%E -4.03%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 18:59
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -4.58%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.38%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 18:40
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -4.58%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.38%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 18:45
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.05%EV -4.99%E -2.18%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.75%EV -1.12%E -0.300%K -0.410%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 18:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.82%EV -5.82%E -2.56%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -8.53%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.40%EV -8.27%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 18:59
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 18:45
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 18:45
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 18:45
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 18:45
BetUS🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -7.06%E -3.15%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -3.50%E -0.959%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 18:59
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -7.48%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.38%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -7.48%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.38%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 18:50
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -7.48%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.38%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -7.48%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.38%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -7.48%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.38%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 18:50
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -7.48%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.38%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -7.48%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.38%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.46%EV -7.89%E -3.56%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.18%E -0.589%K -0.807%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -5.70%E -1.94%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.46%EV -7.89%E -3.56%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.18%E -0.589%K -0.807%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -5.70%E -1.94%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 18:50
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 18:49
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 18:50
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 18:50
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 18:50
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 18:45
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 18:41
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 18:41
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 18:40
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 18:50
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -15.40%E -4.81%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 18:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.92%EV -9.14%E -4.17%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 18:50
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.39%EV -10.38%E -4.81%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 18:50
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.80%E -5.02%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.80%E -5.02%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 18:45
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -10.80%E -5.02%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-26 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.45%EV -11.21%E -5.24%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-26 18:50
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.45%EV -11.21%E -5.24%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-26 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -12.87%E -6.13%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -11.80%E -4.29%K -6.74%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-26 18:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -12.87%E -6.13%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -11.80%E -4.29%K -6.74%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-26 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -14.95%E -7.29%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -2.18%E -0.589%K -0.807%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 18:45
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.29%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.75%0.1%2026-07-26 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-07-26 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-07-26 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-07-26 18:50
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%1.9%2026-07-26 18:50