Langue:Français
São Bernardo v Ceará
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
São Bernardo (Local)
Prévision 41.49%2.41cote équitable
EV -2.50%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -1.85%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.72%41.44%41.50%43.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.212.212.3548.78%45.21%45.25%42.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Ceará (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.44%3.78cote équitable
EV -1.12%
Avantage -0.300%
Kelly -0.410%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.74
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.37%26.56%26.36%29.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.473.503.7432.26%28.79%28.57%26.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 32.07%3.12cote équitable
EV -4.10%
Avantage -1.37%
Kelly -2.06%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.99
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.00%32.00%32.14%33.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.872.882.9936.36%34.81%34.72%33.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : São Bernardo (Local) : 41.49% ; Ceará (Visiteur) : 26.44% ; Match nul : 32.07%. Pour Ceará (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.78. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.74, pour une espérance de -1.12% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -18.04%E -5.82%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.45%EV -4.16%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.81%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -11.16%E -4.03%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -4.58%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.38%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -4.58%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.38%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.05%EV -4.99%E -2.18%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.75%EV -1.12%E -0.300%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.82%EV -5.82%E -2.56%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -8.53%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.40%EV -8.27%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -7.06%E -3.15%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -3.50%E -0.959%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -7.48%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.38%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -7.48%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.38%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -7.48%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.38%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -7.48%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.38%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -7.48%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.38%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -7.48%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.38%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -7.48%E -3.35%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.38%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.46%EV -7.89%E -3.56%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.18%E -0.589%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -5.70%E -1.94%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.46%EV -7.89%E -3.56%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.18%E -0.589%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -5.70%E -1.94%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 18:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-26 18:41 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-26 18:41 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -15.40%E -4.81%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.92%EV -9.14%E -4.17%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.39%EV -10.38%E -4.81%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.80%E -5.02%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.80%E -5.02%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -10.80%E -5.02%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.45%EV -11.21%E -5.24%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.45%EV -11.21%E -5.24%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -12.87%E -6.13%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -11.80%E -4.29%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -12.87%E -6.13%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -11.80%E -4.29%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -14.95%E -7.29%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -2.18%E -0.589%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.97% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.29% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.75% | 0.1% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19% | 1.9% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |