L’École des cotes

São Bernardo v Ceará

2026-07-26 19:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

São Bernardo (Local)

Prévision 39.02%2.56cote équitable
EV -3.63%
Avantage -1.47%
Kelly -2.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.00%39.10%39.05%41.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.362.382.4745.45%42.44%42.02%40.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ceará (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.28%3.54cote équitable
EV +0.104%
Avantage +0.029%
Kelly +0.041%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.60%28.18%28.32%29.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.233.253.5432.79%30.91%30.77%28.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.70%3.06cote équitable
EV -3.52%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -1.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.47%32.72%32.63%34.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.822.802.9537.04%35.44%35.71%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 38.76%EV -3.63%E -1.47%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.05%EV +0.104%E +0.029%K +0.041%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.19%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 19:20
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -4.41%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -2.44%E -0.708%K -0.996%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 19:05
1xBet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.29%EV -5.19%E -2.13%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.34%EV -11.37%E -4.20%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 18:10
Bovada2.39I 41.84%NM 38.64%EV -6.75%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-24 09:27
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -14.16%E -6.44%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 22:05
Marathon Bet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.43%EV -5.97%E -2.48%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -4.42%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.17%EV -11.37%E -4.20%K -6.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.93%EV -5.58%E -2.30%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.94%EV -6.46%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 04:10
BetUS2.42I 41.32%NM 38.93%EV -5.58%E -2.30%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.94%EV -6.46%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 04:10
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.84%EV -5.58%E -2.30%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.10%EV -7.12%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 04:10
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -9.08%E -3.27%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 19:50
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -9.08%E -3.27%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 19:45
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.68%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 04:09
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.68%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 19:50
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 03:05
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 13:39
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 13:40
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 13:43
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 13:40
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 13:39
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 13:39
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 19:00
Codere (IT)2.31I 43.29%NM 38.97%EV -9.87%E -4.27%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.34%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 19:49
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 01:15
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 19:04
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 04:10
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 01:15
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 22:55
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 03:04
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 38.88%EV -9.09%E -3.90%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -10.92%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 13:40
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 04:25
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 04:25
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 04:25
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 04:25
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 03:14
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-24 22:55
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 13:40
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -12.21%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-24 08:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.68%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.33%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-25 13:40
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.68%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.33%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-25 09:35
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -12.21%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -13.75%E -4.51%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.41%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-25 09:35
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -12.21%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -13.75%E -4.51%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.41%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-25 09:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84%1.5%2026-07-26 04:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.8%2026-07-26 04:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.8%2026-07-26 04:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.8%2026-07-26 04:05
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.71%1.9%2026-07-26 04:05