La escuela de los momios

São Bernardo v Ceará

2026-07-26 19:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

São Bernardo (Local)

Predicción 38.98%2.57momio equitativo
EV -3.34%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -2.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.00%39.06%39.08%41.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.362.382.4845.45%42.42%42.02%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ceará (Visitante)

Predicción 28.08%3.56momio equitativo
EV -0.019%
Ventaja -0.005%
Kelly -0.007%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.60%28.05%27.98%29.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.253.253.5632.79%30.81%30.77%28.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 32.94%3.04momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -0.959%
Kelly -1.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.47%32.89%32.94%34.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.682.812.802.9537.31%35.58%35.71%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 38.58%EV -3.34%E -1.35%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.88%EV -0.019%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.54%EV -8.76%E -3.16%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 04:54
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -3.11%E -0.901%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -7.77%E -2.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 19:05
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -4.90%E -2.01%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -3.11%E -0.901%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -9.09%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 04:20
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -4.90%E -2.01%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -3.11%E -0.901%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -9.09%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 04:20
BetUS2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -4.90%E -2.01%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -3.11%E -0.901%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -9.09%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 04:19
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.45%EV -5.68%E -2.35%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.21%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.34%EV -10.73%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 04:54
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -2.83%E -0.959%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 01:15
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.42%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 04:20
Marathon Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.17%EV -10.73%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 04:52
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.42%EV -11.72%E -4.37%K -6.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 04:46
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.94%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.77%E -2.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 04:25
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.94%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.77%E -2.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 04:25
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.94%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.77%E -2.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 04:25
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.94%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.77%E -2.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 04:25
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 13:39
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 13:40
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 13:43
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 13:40
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 13:39
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 13:39
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 13:40
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -8.43%E -3.03%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 19:50
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -8.43%E -3.03%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 19:45
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -7.77%E -2.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 19:50
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -8.41%E -3.58%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -2.83%E -0.959%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 03:05
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -8.41%E -3.58%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -2.83%E -0.959%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 19:04
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.41%E -3.58%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.12%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 05:29
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.41%E -3.58%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.12%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 01:15
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 38.88%EV -9.19%E -3.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -11.53%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -7.77%E -2.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 13:40
Codere (IT)2.31I 43.29%NM 38.97%EV -9.97%E -4.31%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.34%EV -11.06%E -4.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 19:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -10.36%E -4.50%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.72%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -4.48%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 19:00
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -10.36%E -4.50%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -4.48%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 22:55
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -10.36%E -4.50%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 03:04
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.36%E -4.50%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.94%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -6.12%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 03:14
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.36%E -4.50%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -12.94%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.77%E -2.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-24 22:55
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.36%E -4.50%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.94%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.42%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -11.13%E -4.88%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.68%EV -12.94%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.33%EV -9.42%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-25 13:40
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -11.13%E -4.88%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.68%EV -12.94%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.33%EV -9.42%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-25 09:35
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -12.30%E -5.47%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.94%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -7.77%E -2.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-24 08:10
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -12.30%E -5.47%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -14.34%E -4.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.41%EV -11.06%E -4.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-25 09:35
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -12.30%E -5.47%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -14.34%E -4.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.41%EV -11.06%E -4.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-25 09:34
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -14.25%E -6.48%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.77%E -2.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 22:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84%1.5%2026-07-26 06:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.8%2026-07-26 06:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.8%2026-07-26 06:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.8%2026-07-26 06:04
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.71%1.9%2026-07-26 06:15