L’École des cotesFrançais
Ponte Preta v Grêmio Novorizontino
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ponte Preta (Local)
Prévision 22.36%4.47cote équitable
EV +0.619%
Avantage +0.138%
Kelly +0.177%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.76%22.36%22.36%24.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.144.204.5027.03%24.13%23.81%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Grêmio Novorizontino (Visiteur)
Prévision 48.82%2.05cote équitable
EV -4.32%
Avantage -2.20%
Kelly -4.50%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.96
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.69%48.76%48.78%51.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.871.901.9658.14%53.49%52.63%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.82%3.47cote équitable
EV -3.45%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -1.47%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.78%28.88%28.87%30.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.183.203.3535.71%31.41%31.25%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-22 22:40 |
| BetUS | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -11.15%E -6.13%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.45%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 22:09 |
| Casumo | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -11.15%E -6.13%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.45%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 22:09 |
| Unibet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -11.15%E -6.13%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.45%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 22:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -11.15%E -6.13%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.45%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 22:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -11.15%E -6.13%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.45%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 22:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -11.15%E -6.13%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.45%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 22:09 |
| betPARX | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +0.619%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -11.15%E -6.13%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.45%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 22:09 |
| Pinnacle | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.65%EV -0.722%E -0.163%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.04%EV -4.32%E -2.20%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -5.46%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-22 22:40 |
| BetRivers | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -3.85%E -0.896%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.84%EV -12.62%E -7.05%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-22 22:09 |
| 1xBet | 4.28I 23.36%NM 21.87%EV -4.30%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.52%EV -7.73%E -4.09%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.62%EV -5.75%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-22 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -4.97%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.04%EV -7.73%E -4.09%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.15%EV -8.35%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-22 22:40 |
| Grosvenor | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -4.97%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.91%EV -14.08%E -8.00%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-22 22:09 |
| DraftKings | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| Betway | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| FanDuel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-22 22:48 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| SportsBet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.87%EV -7.25%E -3.81%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-22 22:49 |
| Bovada | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -7.73%E -4.09%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -12.13%E -6.74%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-22 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -14.57%E -8.32%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-22 22:30 |
| TABtouch | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.07%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.85%EV -15.06%E -8.65%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-22 22:09 |
| Betsson | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -7.21%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -7.25%E -3.81%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| NordicBet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -7.21%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -7.25%E -3.81%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-22 22:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.52%EV -7.73%E -4.09%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -16.03%E -9.32%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| LeoVegas | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -16.03%E -9.32%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -16.03%E -9.32%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| Coolbet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -5.78%E -3.00%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-22 22:40 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-22 22:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -4.80%E -2.46%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -7.25%E -3.81%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-22 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| Bet Victor | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.45%EV -8.71%E -4.66%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.31%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| BetMGM | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| betfred_uk | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -7.25%E -3.81%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.79%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.69%EV -10.66%E -5.83%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.52%EV -19.30%E -6.89%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| PlayUp | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.85%EV -5.78%E -3.00%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| Neds | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-22 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -6.76%E -3.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-22 22:39 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-06-22 22:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-06-22 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-06-22 22:50 |
| Matchbook | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-06-22 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.49% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53% | 1.1% | 2026-06-22 22:50 |